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Today is the last day of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season. 8 landfalls including Ida, but no landfalls in the late season.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 83 (Nicholas) , Major: 99 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1153 (Michael) Major: 1153 (Michael)
 


Archives 2000s >> 2009 News Talkbacks

danielwAdministrator
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Reged: Wed
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Week Ahead
      Sat Aug 22 2009 02:25 PM

Excerpt from the morning Extended Forecast Discussion.

EWD A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY SW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAY APPROACH THE BAHAMAS THURSDAY WITH SHOWERS POSSIBLY REACHING FL BY FRIDAY. CMC CONTS TO BE VERY AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS WAVE WHILE 00Z ECMWF ENSEMBLES SHOW A STRONG CLUSTERING OF LOWS IN THIS REGION LATE WEEK. CHI VERTICAL VELOCITY POTENTIAL ANOMALY CHARTS STRONGLY FAVOR THE TROPICAL EPAC FOR DEVELOPMENT THIS PERIOD WITH SOME LESSER BUT STILL FAVORABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE CARRIBEAN/GLFMEX AND BAHAMAS REGION. LATEST 12Z UKMET/CMC MAINTAIN CONTINUITY INDICATING A TROPICAL WAVE OR GREATER WILL BE IN THIS REGION LATE NEXT WEEK. SFC POSITIONS DEPICTED BY DAILY HPC/TPC COORDINATION.

And from the
Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion
UPDATED MORNING PROGS INCORPORATE THE 00Z ECMWF ENS MEAN TO A CONSIDERABLE DEGREE INCREASING IN TIME ALONG WITH THE OP ECMWF. SFC FRONTAL POSITIONS ARE LITTLE DIFFERENT FROM EARLIER PRELIMS. BY DAYS 6 AND 7 HAVE ENHANCED THE DEPICTION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE IN THE BAHAMAS AND OFF THE FL EAST COAST AS PER OP MODEL SOLUTIONS AND IMPROVING VELOCITY POTENTIAL ANOMALY CHARTS OF EMWF/GFS AND ECMWF INDICATING BETTER CONDITIONS FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT ONCE THE WAVE ENTERS THE BAHAMAS REGION. GOOD ENSEMBLE SFC LOW CLUSTERING NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS DAYS 5-7 THU-SAT.

note:NWS Florida Peninsula Offices are not giving this much more than a mention at this time.~danielw

Edited by danielw (Sat Aug 22 2009 02:35 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday MikeCAdministrator Sat Aug 22 2009 02:25 PM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 23 2009 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday blizzardnut   Sun Aug 23 2009 01:58 PM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday scottsvb   Sun Aug 23 2009 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday JoshuaK   Sun Aug 23 2009 06:56 AM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday MichaelA   Sat Aug 22 2009 05:24 PM
. * * Week Ahead danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 22 2009 02:25 PM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday blizzardnut   Sat Aug 22 2009 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Bill weakens some more, No Direct Impact to New England Kent   Fri Aug 21 2009 11:52 PM
. * * Re: MJO Forecast scottsvb   Fri Aug 21 2009 11:44 AM
. * * Re: MJO Forecast Ed in Va   Fri Aug 21 2009 09:36 AM
. * * Re: Bill presentation doug   Fri Aug 21 2009 09:36 AM
. * * Re: MJO Forecast LoisCane   Fri Aug 21 2009 08:44 AM
. * * MJO Forecast danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 21 2009 07:28 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US M.A.   Fri Aug 21 2009 07:00 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Random Chaos   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US hogrunr   Thu Aug 20 2009 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MichaelA   Thu Aug 20 2009 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US OrlandoDan   Thu Aug 20 2009 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US WeatherNut   Thu Aug 20 2009 11:45 AM
. * * Bill at Cat 4 danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 20 2009 11:36 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MichaelA   Thu Aug 20 2009 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US hogrunr   Thu Aug 20 2009 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Hugh   Thu Aug 20 2009 10:37 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US doug   Thu Aug 20 2009 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Fairhopian   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:43 AM
. * * Re: Bill weakens Some, New England/Canada Needs to Watch blizzardnut   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Ed in Va   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:17 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:00 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Beach   Wed Aug 19 2009 09:55 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Random Chaos   Wed Aug 19 2009 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US JoshuaK   Wed Aug 19 2009 08:00 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Fairhopian   Wed Aug 19 2009 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US ftlaudbob   Wed Aug 19 2009 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US WeatherNut   Wed Aug 19 2009 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US craigm   Wed Aug 19 2009 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Wed Aug 19 2009 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US doug   Wed Aug 19 2009 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Wed Aug 19 2009 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US doug   Wed Aug 19 2009 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MichaelA   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MichaelA   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Fairhopian   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Ed in Va   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:08 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Thunderbird12   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Wed Aug 19 2009 02:47 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 19 2009 02:38 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US sailor   Wed Aug 19 2009 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US gatorman   Wed Aug 19 2009 02:06 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Beach   Wed Aug 19 2009 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US doug   Wed Aug 19 2009 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Tropicbird   Wed Aug 19 2009 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Wed Aug 19 2009 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US berserkr   Wed Aug 19 2009 07:05 AM

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