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NHC advisories to begin shortly on Storm 01L (Potential Tropical Cyclone 01L) in the Western Gulf. Elsewhere, low east of Bahamas being tracked.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 293 (Idalia) , Major: 293 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 293 (Idalia) Major: 293 (Idalia)
Ptnl One
ADV#3A 8:00 am EDT
21.5N 92.8W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
N at 6 mph
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vpbob21
Weather Guru


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Posts: 115
Loc: Ohio
Re: HILDA Still Organizing, 'Hawaiian Hurricane' Likely
      Wed Aug 26 2009 02:45 AM

Hilda is looking quite anemic tonight. The convection had pretty much disappeared earlier, then there was another little burst and now that seems to be dying out. The 11 AM discussion suggested that perhaps dry air had gotten entrained into the circulation. But for whatever reason, Hilda has been weakening and is no longer forecast to reach hurricane strength.

Hilda is a small storm, and small storms are quite sensitive to adverse atmospheric conditions. It seems to be in that zone now where it could develop a big burst of convection and take off, or the thunderstorms might not refire and it might just spin down. I don't have a good feeling what might happen, but the next couple CPHC discussions should be interesting. Anyway, the weakening trend will probably ensure that it will likely be a shallow system and stay south of the islands.

Edit: Of course, almost as soon as I typed this a big burst of convection fired. We'll see if it stays persistant.

Edited by vpbob21 (Wed Aug 26 2009 05:44 AM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* HILDA Still Organizing, 'Hawaiian Hurricane' Likely CoconutCandy Wed Aug 26 2009 02:45 AM
. * * Re: HILDA Still Organizing, 'Hawaiian Hurricane' Likely vpbob21   Sat Aug 29 2009 02:27 AM
. * * Re: HILDA Still Organizing, 'Hawaiian Hurricane' Likely vpbob21   Wed Aug 26 2009 02:45 AM

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