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92L now up to a 60% chance for development. Recon out there but just under the threshhold for classification, may become a TD later today.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 296 (Idalia) , Major: 296 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 296 (Idalia) Major: 296 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2009 Forecast Lounge
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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4560
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: 92L Lounge
      Wed Aug 26 2009 12:02 PM

As of now, I still don't think the models have a good handle on Danny. GFS is more into new england (specifically east end of Long island into Southeast Mass) as of 12Z, but Danny is a odd hybrid, only slightly more tropical than subtropical, and the situation with the Upper Level Low is Complex.

I think models will shift more west later, but I'm not sure how much. Something is off with this system, and I'm still trying to figure out what that is.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Danny Lounge MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 26 2009 12:02 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge Ed in Va   Mon Aug 24 2009 02:58 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge craigm   Mon Aug 24 2009 05:03 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge doug   Tue Aug 25 2009 12:06 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge hwoodw   Tue Aug 25 2009 12:22 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge cbnc   Tue Aug 25 2009 12:53 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge MichaelA   Tue Aug 25 2009 01:31 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 26 2009 12:02 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge Evan Johnson   Wed Aug 26 2009 12:23 PM

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