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Tonight "the calm before the storm" and time to finish preps. Even now, high precipitable water and instability values ahead of Beryl are triggering flash flood threats with rainfall rates up to over 3"/Hr #Beryl #TXWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 311 (Idalia) , Major: 311 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 311 (Idalia) Major: 311 (Idalia)
TS Beryl
ADV#34A 7:00 am EDT
24.9N 94.3W
Wind: 60MPH
Pres: 995mb
Moving:
Nw at 13 mph
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News Talkback >> 2009 Forecast Lounge
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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 383
Loc: Plant City, Florida
Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go?
      Wed Sep 02 2009 12:18 AM

Quote:

hey, anyone looked at it in the past 6hr loop? Erika just seemed to double in size in the past 2-3 images? is this due to less UL winds or possibly warmer waters? just wondering, also looks like a jog to the west???



Looking at the unenhanced IR, it seems that the blow-off from westerly shear has lessened a bit. This might explain the expansion in size, might it? That big convection explosion also seems to have produced an explosion of the outer higher level clouds that make it look much larger. It HAS expanded. Keep us in Central Fla posted on this sucker. Odd that I should be hoping the storm STRENGTHENS so that it has a better chance to be pulled northward and away from us. Higher shear ahead (although the tendancy seems to show it decreasing) may keep me from getting my wish. Odd year so far overall, though so I shouldn't be surprised!!

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? MikeCAdministrator Wed Sep 02 2009 12:18 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? B.C.Francis   Tue Sep 01 2009 06:18 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? dstanley   Tue Sep 01 2009 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? ftlaudbob   Tue Sep 01 2009 07:04 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 01 2009 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Evan Johnson   Wed Sep 02 2009 08:33 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Ed in Va   Wed Sep 02 2009 09:15 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Evan Johnson   Wed Sep 02 2009 09:52 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 03 2009 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? ftlaudbob   Thu Sep 03 2009 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Lamar-Plant City   Thu Sep 03 2009 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? hogrunr   Thu Sep 03 2009 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? MichaelA   Thu Sep 03 2009 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? ftlaudbob   Wed Sep 02 2009 10:42 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Evan Johnson   Wed Sep 02 2009 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Robert   Wed Sep 02 2009 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Lamar-Plant City   Thu Sep 03 2009 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? ftlaudbob   Thu Sep 03 2009 11:51 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? gatorman   Tue Sep 01 2009 09:16 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Lamar-Plant City   Wed Sep 02 2009 12:18 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? weathernet   Wed Sep 02 2009 02:02 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 02 2009 08:16 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? berrywr   Tue Sep 01 2009 06:09 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? berrywr   Wed Sep 02 2009 09:51 AM

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