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#Beryl on track to become a Major while crossing or near the Windwards. Low behind it now Invest #96L with 70% odds. #94L in Bay of Campeche as well. What month is this?
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 304 (Idalia) , Major: 304 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia) Major: 304 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#6A 7:00 am EDT
10.5N 52.2W
Wind: 90MPH
Pres: 983mb
Moving:
W at 20 mph
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News Talkback >> 2009 Forecast Lounge
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MikeCAdministrator
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Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go?
      Wed Sep 02 2009 08:16 AM

The model roundup this morning is interesting, the GFS takes it through the Bahamas on the 7th, and into South Florida (Broward
or Dade ish) the following day, the GFDL is more westward, missing Puerto Rico to the north and then just north of the Turks into the Central Bahamas. HRWF is further north and away from the Bahamas.

Since the storm has moved a bit more west than expected, it may force Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings for Puerto Rico.

It likely will be an interesting next few days to watch. The spread is a bit much. It's also possible Erika falls apart, but with that much convection to the east, I wouldn't count on it. It's similar to Chris from 3 years ago. But Chris "split apart" after it got west of the Leewards.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? MikeCAdministrator Wed Sep 02 2009 08:16 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? B.C.Francis   Tue Sep 01 2009 06:18 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? dstanley   Tue Sep 01 2009 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? ftlaudbob   Tue Sep 01 2009 07:04 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 01 2009 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Evan Johnson   Wed Sep 02 2009 08:33 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Ed in Va   Wed Sep 02 2009 09:15 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Evan Johnson   Wed Sep 02 2009 09:52 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 03 2009 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? ftlaudbob   Thu Sep 03 2009 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Lamar-Plant City   Thu Sep 03 2009 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? hogrunr   Thu Sep 03 2009 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? MichaelA   Thu Sep 03 2009 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? ftlaudbob   Wed Sep 02 2009 10:42 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Evan Johnson   Wed Sep 02 2009 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Robert   Wed Sep 02 2009 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Lamar-Plant City   Thu Sep 03 2009 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? ftlaudbob   Thu Sep 03 2009 11:51 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? gatorman   Tue Sep 01 2009 09:16 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? Lamar-Plant City   Wed Sep 02 2009 12:18 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? weathernet   Wed Sep 02 2009 02:02 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 02 2009 08:16 AM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? berrywr   Tue Sep 01 2009 06:09 PM
. * * Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? berrywr   Wed Sep 02 2009 09:51 AM

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