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A few swirls trying to earn an Invest tag in the final days of the 2021 Season. Their environment is not ideal for development.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 74 (Nicholas) , Major: 90 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1144 (Michael) Major: 1144 (Michael)
 


Archives 2000s >> 2009 News Talkbacks

berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged: Fri
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: 03/20Z - Tropical Depression Erika?
      Thu Sep 03 2009 04:58 PM

I have no idea. I like to think each storm is its own story; that is when you analyze why one storm is and another storm isn't; it's not as simple as past storms histories, the time of year it is. Yes, there is climatology when we speak in broad strokes, but specific storms; the bottom line here are the upper level winds. As to why the upper level winds are what they are, maybe it does have something to do with the El Nino and Southern Ocillation; if it does, it's beyond my level of expertise. It's been asked whether IF global warming if there would be more hurricanes than normal. I don't think it's a question whether a hurricane is likely to be stronger, but whether global warming and the effects on the upper levels will make it more hostile for hurricanes to develop in the first place. It takes more than hot water to get a storm to spin up. Danny and Erika are proof of what 20 knots of winds at 40,000 feet will do to disrupt a tropical storm.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Erika Falls Apart MikeCAdministrator Thu Sep 03 2009 04:58 PM
. * * Re: RIP - Erika MichaelA   Fri Sep 04 2009 05:54 PM
. * * RIP - Erika Lamar-Plant City   Fri Sep 04 2009 05:08 PM
. * * Re: E Caribbean Robert   Fri Sep 04 2009 05:07 PM
. * * Re: E Caribbean doug   Fri Sep 04 2009 03:57 PM
. * * Re: E Caribbean MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 04 2009 02:34 PM
. * * Re: E Caribbean MichaelA   Fri Sep 04 2009 12:13 PM
. * * Re: E Caribbean weathernet   Fri Sep 04 2009 11:05 AM
. * * Re: E Caribbean LoisCane   Fri Sep 04 2009 09:27 AM
. * * Re: E Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 04 2009 07:18 AM
. * * Re: E Caribbean OrlandoDan   Fri Sep 04 2009 06:43 AM
. * * Re: E Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 04 2009 06:36 AM
. * * Re: E Caribbean OrlandoDan   Fri Sep 04 2009 05:58 AM
. * * E Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 04 2009 05:00 AM
. * * Re: Martinique radar craigm   Thu Sep 03 2009 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Martinique radar MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 03 2009 07:08 PM
. * * Martinique radar Robert   Thu Sep 03 2009 07:03 PM
. * * Re: 03/20Z - Tropical Depression Erika? craigm   Thu Sep 03 2009 06:32 PM
. * * Re: 03/20Z - Tropical Depression Erika? Clark   Thu Sep 03 2009 06:00 PM
. * * Re: 03/20Z - Tropical Depression Erika? berrywr   Thu Sep 03 2009 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico berrywr   Thu Sep 03 2009 04:41 PM
. * * Re: 03/20Z - Tropical Depression Erika? Ed in Va   Thu Sep 03 2009 04:39 PM
. * * 03/20Z - Tropical Depression Erika? berrywr   Thu Sep 03 2009 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico hogrunr   Thu Sep 03 2009 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico scottsvb   Thu Sep 03 2009 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico hogrunr   Thu Sep 03 2009 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico scottsvb   Thu Sep 03 2009 03:50 PM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 03 2009 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico hogrunr   Thu Sep 03 2009 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico doug   Thu Sep 03 2009 02:09 PM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico Clark   Thu Sep 03 2009 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico OrlandoDan   Thu Sep 03 2009 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 03 2009 12:00 PM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico hogrunr   Thu Sep 03 2009 12:00 PM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico OrlandoDan   Thu Sep 03 2009 11:11 AM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico berrywr   Thu Sep 03 2009 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico weathernet   Thu Sep 03 2009 09:19 AM
. * * Re: Weak Erika Slowly Moving Toward Puerto Rico craigm   Thu Sep 03 2009 07:45 AM

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