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Today is the last day of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season. 8 landfalls including Ida, but no landfalls in the late season.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 79 (Nicholas) , Major: 95 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1149 (Michael) Major: 1149 (Michael)
 


Archives 2000s >> 2009 News Talkbacks

danielwAdministrator
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Reged: Wed
Posts: 3524
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Conditions Not Good for Development
      Wed Sep 16 2009 02:17 PM

I've been watching Ex-Fred and the area south of Puerto Rico for the past few days. They are persistantly persistant. Pardon the English...

I was looking around at some super extended text model output for Key West and I did appear that some type of Low Pressure system would be in the are in the next 5 days or so.
Slowly falling barometer and wind directions consistant with a Low passing thru the area.

However the forecast wind speeds at Key West over the next 16 day 12Z forecast weren't in the tropical depression range. Mostly in the under 20 knot range.

Cool wave progged to pass into the Lower Mississippi Valley over the weekend should kick the remains of what could have been the "G" storm that spun up in the NW GOM last week. Question is, will the cool/ long wave be enough to boot Ex-Fred off to the NE before nearing Florida. Have to wait that one out.
Another really potent longwave/ cold front lies offshore the Pacific Northwest at this time. Probably be late next week before it could make to the N GOM area.
While the cool waves don't really have a lot to do with the tropics, they may be just strong enough to deflect anything that might move into the area.

Keep an eye on the Bay of Campeche. Nice cluster of heavy thunderstorms popped up there earlier. Appear to be on the very southern end of the inflow to the cutoff upper Low over the ArkLaTex.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Conditions Not Good for Development MikeCAdministrator Wed Sep 16 2009 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Fred not dead! CoconutCandy   Fri Sep 25 2009 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Fred not dead! JoshuaK   Fri Sep 25 2009 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Fred not dead! Black Pearl   Fri Sep 25 2009 12:58 PM
. * * Re: Fred not dead! rgd   Thu Sep 24 2009 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Fred not dead! JoshuaK   Wed Sep 23 2009 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Fred not dead! MichaelA   Wed Sep 23 2009 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Fred not dead! Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Sep 22 2009 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Fred not dead! JoshuaK   Tue Sep 22 2009 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Fred not dead! docrod   Fri Sep 18 2009 09:38 PM
. * * Re: Fred not dead! berrywr   Fri Sep 18 2009 05:22 PM
. * * Re: Fred not dead! Steve H1   Fri Sep 18 2009 10:13 AM
. * * Re: Fred not dead! Ed in Va   Fri Sep 18 2009 08:52 AM
. * * Re: Fred not dead! docrod   Thu Sep 17 2009 09:37 PM
. * * Fred not dead! ftlaudbob   Thu Sep 17 2009 06:04 PM
. * * Re: Conditions Not Good for Development docrod   Thu Sep 17 2009 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Conditions Not Good for Development cieldumort   Wed Sep 16 2009 09:09 PM
. * * Re: Conditions Not Good for Development ltpat228   Wed Sep 16 2009 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Conditions Not Good for Development danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 16 2009 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Conditions Not Good for Development hogrunr   Wed Sep 16 2009 10:53 AM
. * * Re: Conditions Not Good for Development cieldumort   Wed Sep 16 2009 04:06 AM

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