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rgd
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Posts: 65
Re: TD 11
      Wed Nov 04 2009 08:14 PM

Quote:

Quote:

Please, and remember, when it comes to tropical meteorology, it is always best to view the current situation in an objective mentality, instead of in an subjective. YOU, may think that her fatal fate ahs been sealed; however, the rest of us on here, do not quite yet agree with you're sentiment in that regard, quite yet, Mike. I came here looking unfavored and unbaised data, can we keep it that way. Look, alright, she may fizzle; however, are the constant reminders REALLY necessary. This has been a deplorably dismel cane season, although I do not wish death nor destruction to be bethowed upon anyone because of these creatures, at the same time, I welcome this late-season excitement, have you've caught my drift in this regard, Mike? I would hope so. Lastly, let's hope 2010 really brings us all something to really talk about, we'll see, though. Cheers,




No I guess I don't agree. There is a hurricane watch for Nicaragua, and a strengthening Tropical Storm. It is currently bringing torrential rainfall and will likely impact it quite heavily. Those are the facts.

If it fizzles out over there it will be with a ton of flooding there. The atmosphere around the system is very conductive for development, and this is the area you look for development in this part of the season. It will likely not impact the US heavily if at all, but it is worth watching, especially now that it is out of mind of a lot of folks.

The goal is hurricanes without the hype. That does not mean downplaying real threats, or down casting everything. It just means analyzing the situation, real threats are thankfully rare, and in this season even moreso. I'm erring toward better accuracy. It is important to look from the angles of what will cause a system to develop, move to a place, as well as looking for reasons it will not develop or won't go somewhere. Weighing each to determine what is most likely. Most likely may still be 50.0001% chance, like the earlier statement today was (About it fizzling), and it didn't take much for it to go the other way too. (RI of the system was unexpected, but not out of the question given the environment)

And I always hope 2010 is slower than even this one.






Well you quoted me and i did not say that it would i said it may and we watch it but not wish it thanks.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ida Offshore, Poised to Restrengthen MikeCAdministrator Wed Nov 04 2009 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm IDA OrlandoDan   Sat Nov 07 2009 08:47 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm IDA cieldumort   Sat Nov 07 2009 04:51 AM
. * * Tropical Storm IDA danielwAdministrator   Sat Nov 07 2009 04:05 AM
. * * Re: Ida Offshore, Poised to Restrengthen weathernet   Sat Nov 07 2009 03:05 AM
. * * Re: Ida Offshore, Poised to Restrengthen WeatherNut   Sat Nov 07 2009 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Ida Offshore, Poised to Restrengthen Rasvar   Sat Nov 07 2009 12:09 AM
. * * Re: Ida Offshore, Poised to Restrengthen MichaelA   Fri Nov 06 2009 03:43 PM
. * * Re: Ida Offshore, Poised to Restrengthen MikeCAdministrator   Fri Nov 06 2009 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Ida Offshore, Poised to Restrengthen hurricane expert   Fri Nov 06 2009 02:57 PM
. * * Updates danielwAdministrator   Fri Nov 06 2009 01:27 PM
. * * Re: Ida regaining Tropical Storm status? danielwAdministrator   Fri Nov 06 2009 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Ida regaining Tropical Storm status? Hawkeyewx   Fri Nov 06 2009 11:47 AM
. * * Re: Ida regaining Tropical Storm status? MikeCAdministrator   Fri Nov 06 2009 10:52 AM
. * * Ida regaining Tropical Storm status? berrywr   Fri Nov 06 2009 02:17 AM
. * * Hurricane Ida Makes the Record Books for Explosive Intensification CoconutCandy   Thu Nov 05 2009 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ida JFV25   Thu Nov 05 2009 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ida weathernet   Thu Nov 05 2009 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ida MikeCAdministrator   Thu Nov 05 2009 03:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ida weathernet   Thu Nov 05 2009 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ida Wingman51   Thu Nov 05 2009 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ida MichaelA   Thu Nov 05 2009 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ida rgd   Thu Nov 05 2009 11:22 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ida WeatherNut   Thu Nov 05 2009 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ida cieldumort   Thu Nov 05 2009 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ida MichaelA   Thu Nov 05 2009 10:28 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ida Jane   Thu Nov 05 2009 09:32 AM
. * * Hurricane Ida danielwAdministrator   Thu Nov 05 2009 09:11 AM
. * * Re: TD 11 OrlandoDan   Thu Nov 05 2009 08:33 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ida Forms in the Southwestern Caribbean Sea LoisCane   Thu Nov 05 2009 08:05 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ida Forms in the Southwestern Caribbean Sea cieldumort   Thu Nov 05 2009 04:52 AM
. * * Re: TD 11 JFV25   Wed Nov 04 2009 08:20 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 rgd   Wed Nov 04 2009 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Administrative Note JFV25   Wed Nov 04 2009 08:09 PM
. * * Administrative Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Nov 04 2009 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Ida's Developmental Fast Track WeatherNut   Wed Nov 04 2009 07:54 PM
. * * Ida's Developmental Fast Track CoconutCandy   Wed Nov 04 2009 07:36 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 rgd   Wed Nov 04 2009 07:09 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 - wv LoisCane   Wed Nov 04 2009 06:58 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 MikeCAdministrator   Wed Nov 04 2009 06:46 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 JFV25   Wed Nov 04 2009 06:42 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 rgd   Wed Nov 04 2009 06:28 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 MikeCAdministrator   Wed Nov 04 2009 06:15 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 rgd   Wed Nov 04 2009 06:03 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 MikeCAdministrator   Wed Nov 04 2009 04:07 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 MikeCAdministrator   Wed Nov 04 2009 03:52 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 Bloodstar   Wed Nov 04 2009 03:42 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 Storm Hunter   Wed Nov 04 2009 03:39 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 danielwAdministrator   Wed Nov 04 2009 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Depression Likely to Develop but Maybe Short-Lived ?? Hawkeyewx   Wed Nov 04 2009 03:16 PM
. * * Depression Likely to Develop but Maybe Short-Lived ?? CoconutCandy   Wed Nov 04 2009 03:08 PM
. * * Re: TD 11 LoisCane   Wed Nov 04 2009 11:14 AM
. * * TD 11 danielwAdministrator   Wed Nov 04 2009 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean System Likely to Develop Hawkeyewx   Wed Nov 04 2009 10:01 AM

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