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Loc: Orlando, FL
Ida a Hurricane Again Moving Northward
      Sat Nov 07 2009 10:04 AM

11:15PM EST Update 7 November 2009
A bouy near the center of Ida recorded 74mph sustained winds which puts Ida back at hurricane strength again. Recon is on the way overnight.



1PM EST Update 7 November 2009
Hurricane watch is still up for the eastern part Yucatan peninsula, including Cancun, since Ida is close to (70MPH, 5MPH Shy of) being a hurricane again.

Flhurricane Recorded Cancun Radar Animation

It is moving mostly north (with a hint of west) at 9mph, and has a window of opportunity to strengthen between now and Sunday evening. After it enters the Gulf it will likely start to lose Tropical characteristics and transform into a Extra Tropical storm, enhancing the pressure gradient differences and causing a breezy week ahead. A lot depends on forward motion, whether or not it stalls in the gulf, and not so much focused on the center if it becomes extratropical.

It may be a windy rainy week for north and eastern Gulf residents.

However, the situation is complex and could change, those along the North and Eastern Gulf will want to keep close tabs on the goings on of Ida over the next several days.


Original Update
Tropical Storm Ida is back, and it is heading generally north with a hint of a westward motion very late, it appears that it will enter the Gulf of Mexico around Monday and then things get interesting. Id has enough current support to get a chance to slowly strengthen. Once it approaches the Gulf conditions aren't great, but It likely will interact with a few other systems and become extra tropical in the Gulf of Mexico.



The water in the west Caribbean is plenty warm enough, so it has a small window to get stronger, but it also has the further it goes north, more storm killing shear to deal with (Similar to many other systems this season), but interesting even with the shear the environment around it will keep it from falling apart. It is gaining some strength, but it's about 50/50 it will make it all the way back to hurricane strength. Hurricane Hunter aircraft are on their way out there now to help determine what Ida is doing, it is possible they could find a stronger system than indicated at the earlier advisory.



Extratropical Ida may be similar---but not quite the same-- as a nor-easter, and have a very large wind field (enhanced by a strong pressure gradient), which will likely make it windy east and north of the system, and because of the shape of the Gulf may cause some minor to moderate coastal flooding mid to late next week along the Gulf coastal areas.

That is the most likely threat from Ida, that it will likely be a ugly week in Florida outside, winds will gradually pick up this week. The pressure gradient even without Ida is high enough to make it breezy outside, when Ida gets closer it will likely pick up more, and the worst days will probably be Wednesday-Friday. Because it won't be purely tropical then the winds around there may likely be between 30 and 40 mph along the north and eastern coastal Gulf coast, and probably won't make it too far inland.

Since Ida will likely be transitioning to extra tropical in the Gulf, the winds will cover a much larger area than typical of Tropical Storms.

Things could change, so we'll watch.

Cancun Radar
Flhurricane Recorded Cancun Radar Animation
Ida Storm Spotlight
{{StormCarib}}
{{StormLinks|Ida|11|11|2009|2|Ida}}
StormPulse Map

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ida a Hurricane Again Moving Northward MikeCAdministrator Sat Nov 07 2009 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ida Nearing Cancun, Bordering on Cat 2 LoisCane   Sun Nov 08 2009 07:14 AM
. * * Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward flarrfan   Sun Nov 08 2009 06:21 AM
. * * Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward Storm Hunter   Sun Nov 08 2009 03:00 AM
. * * Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward Storm Hunter   Sun Nov 08 2009 02:40 AM
. * * Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward JFV25   Sun Nov 08 2009 02:20 AM
. * * Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward Storm Hunter   Sun Nov 08 2009 02:18 AM
. * * Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward Marvin   Sun Nov 08 2009 02:01 AM
. * * Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward Storm Hunter   Sun Nov 08 2009 01:42 AM
. * * Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward Marvin   Sun Nov 08 2009 01:33 AM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf berrywr   Sun Nov 08 2009 01:07 AM
. * * Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward Bloodstar   Sun Nov 08 2009 01:05 AM
. * * Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward Storm Hunter   Sun Nov 08 2009 12:58 AM
. * * Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward MikeCAdministrator   Sat Nov 07 2009 11:33 PM
. * * Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward Hawkeyewx   Sat Nov 07 2009 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward tropicswatch   Sat Nov 07 2009 10:58 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf Rasvar   Sat Nov 07 2009 09:40 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf LoisCane   Sat Nov 07 2009 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Ida Going Deep Once Again rgd   Sat Nov 07 2009 06:50 PM
. * * Ida Going Deep Once Again CoconutCandy   Sat Nov 07 2009 06:05 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf Tony Cristaldi   Sat Nov 07 2009 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf charlottefl   Sat Nov 07 2009 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Nov 07 2009 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf JFV25   Sat Nov 07 2009 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf rgd   Sat Nov 07 2009 03:52 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf Beach   Sat Nov 07 2009 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf Lamar-Plant City   Sat Nov 07 2009 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf berrywr   Sat Nov 07 2009 02:55 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf Storm Hunter   Sat Nov 07 2009 02:35 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf Storm Hunter   Sat Nov 07 2009 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf Storm Hunter   Sat Nov 07 2009 01:40 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf Hawkeyewx   Sat Nov 07 2009 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf weathernet   Sat Nov 07 2009 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf Storm Hunter   Sat Nov 07 2009 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf danielwAdministrator   Sat Nov 07 2009 01:10 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf Rasvar   Sat Nov 07 2009 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Nov 07 2009 12:17 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Sat Nov 07 2009 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Sat Nov 07 2009 11:43 AM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf rgd   Sat Nov 07 2009 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Sat Nov 07 2009 11:34 AM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Sat Nov 07 2009 11:08 AM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Sat Nov 07 2009 10:36 AM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Sat Nov 07 2009 10:13 AM
. * * Re: Ida Again Tropical Storm Moving Toward Gulf rgd   Sat Nov 07 2009 10:09 AM

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