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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 273 (Idalia) , Major: 273 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 273 (Idalia) Major: 273 (Idalia)
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
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spinup
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      Sat Nov 07 2009 08:24 PM

Some of the forecast tracks for Ida have (in various forms and fashions) been sending her south-southeastwardly after reaching the northern GOM. If I understand correctly, the cooler temps and the higher wind shear as she moves into the northern GOM will likely transition her into an extratropical system and she will move off to the northeast. If she attains extratropical characteristics and is then pushed back southeastward sufficiently as some of the models suggest, where the water temps are higher and where the shear might be less, what are the chances she could transition back into a tropical cyclone?

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