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The 2024 season is officially over after a brutal number of landfals, a stunning rampup in the back-half and a record-early Cat 5.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 61 (Milton) , Major: 61 (Milton) Florida - Any: 61 (Milton) Major: 61 (Milton)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2010 Storm Forum

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Outlook for the 2010 Season
      Sun Feb 14 2010 03:46 PM

Latest NOAA/CPC forecasts indicate that the current moderate El Nino should persist through Spring 2010, and probably linger in a weaker state through the Summer. The forecast implies a below normal season for tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin. Initial selections for best analog years are 1973, 1993, 1968 and 1987, and my initial outlook for the 2010 season is 8/4/1 (8 named storms with 4 becoming hurricanes and one of the four becoming a major hurricane).

This is your chance to post your own forecast for the season. Rationale is not required, although the reasoning behind your numbers is always welcomed. I’ll keep this thread open until the end of May and then we can examine the results at the end of the season. Last year as a group we didn’t do so well with most of the forecasts running on the high side.

Note that multi-year below normal seasons are not that uncommon. Recent examples include 1967-68, 1972-73, 1982-83, 1986-87 and 1991-94. To make it easier to compile the end-of-season results, please limit your inputs in this thread to forecasts (and rationale if any).
Cheers,
ED

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator Sun Feb 14 2010 03:46 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon May 31 2010 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season WeatherNut   Mon May 31 2010 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season tekkrite   Sun May 30 2010 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Epicyear2010   Sun May 30 2010 06:44 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season jamesrainier   Sat May 29 2010 05:10 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season weathernet   Sat May 29 2010 06:39 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed May 26 2010 08:16 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season okihabu   Thu May 27 2010 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season ftlaudbob   Thu May 27 2010 12:33 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Lamar-Plant City   Wed May 26 2010 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed in Va   Thu May 27 2010 11:13 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season rmbjoe1954   Thu May 27 2010 02:19 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed in Va   Thu May 27 2010 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Storm Hunter   Thu May 27 2010 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season GlenJohnson   Thu May 27 2010 11:38 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Chris 566   Wed May 26 2010 11:59 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season cieldumort   Tue May 25 2010 03:42 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Doombot!   Tue May 25 2010 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season GlenJohnson   Tue May 25 2010 11:43 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Apr 15 2010 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season srquirrely   Tue May 04 2010 12:33 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Hurricane29   Sun May 16 2010 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun May 16 2010 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Hurricane29   Mon May 17 2010 10:03 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Lamar-Plant City   Mon May 17 2010 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season saltysenior   Mon May 17 2010 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season GlenJohnson   Tue May 04 2010 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season MichaelA   Wed May 05 2010 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season stormtiger   Fri May 07 2010 10:22 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri May 07 2010 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season IMTechspec   Sat Apr 17 2010 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season ma10487   Mon May 03 2010 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season gsand   Mon Apr 12 2010 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season MikeCAdministrator   Fri May 28 2010 07:57 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season GlenJohnson   Wed Apr 14 2010 08:53 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Bloodstar   Thu Mar 04 2010 03:53 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Bloodstar   Thu May 20 2010 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season GlenJohnson   Thu May 20 2010 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season rmbjoe1954   Thu Mar 11 2010 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season lawman6713   Sat Mar 27 2010 05:50 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season GoBigSurf   Sun Apr 11 2010 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Storm Hunter   Sun Apr 11 2010 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season CDMOrlando   Thu Mar 04 2010 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season jessiej   Wed Mar 03 2010 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Feb 18 2010 09:28 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season JoshuaK   Sat Feb 20 2010 07:13 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Hurricane29   Sat Feb 20 2010 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season B.C.Francis   Mon Feb 22 2010 12:34 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season enterlaughing   Mon Mar 01 2010 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Hurricane29   Thu Feb 18 2010 12:27 PM

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