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Ian has made landfall as 150MPH Cat 4 w/ widespread inland gusts of 80-120+ MPH and record storm surge
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 0 (Ian) , Major: 0 (Ian) Florida - Any: 0 (Ian) Major: 0 (Ian)
27.2N 81.7W
Wind: 115MPH
Pres: 960mb
Moving:
Nne at 8 mph
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16.7N 34.7W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1008mb
Moving:
Nnw at 10 mph
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Archives 2010s >> 2010 Storm Forum

stormtiger
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 73
Loc: Baton Rouge, La.
Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season
      Fri May 07 2010 10:22 AM

Apparently the El Nino is fading fast and things over in the Pacific are almost neutral now, and trending to a weak La Nina. I think this will be a key ingredient in allowing for more storms, and for more Cape Verde storms.

Accordingly, I think we'll have a slightly above average system, but with weaker trade winds, I see more storms forming further East than say 2005, and thus becoming more of an East coast and a fish spinner season.

Water temperatures are prime in the tropical Atlantic, dust doesn't seem to be in the cards, and the tropical Atlantic seems to be a prime breeding ground now with sheer being relatively low.

In 2010 I do think Bermuda will have their fair share of "threats", close calls, and then some this year. I think N Carolina is prime for a hurricane too. Let's hope it's not a major. Florida will be threatened too, but they will watch several storms pass them by to the East and they head towards the outer banks or for an ever quicker recurve EAST of the CONUS.

I see the Gulf Coast being hit by two strong TS/Cat one hurricanes; but I think the Gulf states will not see a major hit this season. These two will be storms of the homegrown variety.

In the Carribean I see poor Haiti/DR, getting hit as a storm fails to recurve in time. Cuba will not be under the gun from a major hit.

My overall numbers are 17/8/5.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator Fri May 07 2010 10:22 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon May 31 2010 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season WeatherNut   Mon May 31 2010 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season tekkrite   Sun May 30 2010 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Epicyear2010   Sun May 30 2010 06:44 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season jamesrainier   Sat May 29 2010 05:10 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season weathernet   Sat May 29 2010 06:39 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed May 26 2010 08:16 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season okihabu   Thu May 27 2010 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season ftlaudbob   Thu May 27 2010 12:33 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Lamar-Plant City   Wed May 26 2010 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed in Va   Thu May 27 2010 11:13 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season rmbjoe1954   Thu May 27 2010 02:19 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed in Va   Thu May 27 2010 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Storm Hunter   Thu May 27 2010 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season GlenJohnson   Thu May 27 2010 11:38 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Chris 566   Wed May 26 2010 11:59 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season cieldumort   Tue May 25 2010 03:42 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Doombot!   Tue May 25 2010 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season GlenJohnson   Tue May 25 2010 11:43 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Apr 15 2010 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season srquirrely   Tue May 04 2010 12:33 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Hurricane29   Sun May 16 2010 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun May 16 2010 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Hurricane29   Mon May 17 2010 10:03 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Lamar-Plant City   Mon May 17 2010 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season saltysenior   Mon May 17 2010 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season GlenJohnson   Tue May 04 2010 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season MichaelA   Wed May 05 2010 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season stormtiger   Fri May 07 2010 10:22 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri May 07 2010 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season IMTechspec   Sat Apr 17 2010 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season ma10487   Mon May 03 2010 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season gsand   Mon Apr 12 2010 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season MikeCAdministrator   Fri May 28 2010 07:57 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season GlenJohnson   Wed Apr 14 2010 08:53 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Bloodstar   Thu Mar 04 2010 03:53 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Bloodstar   Thu May 20 2010 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season GlenJohnson   Thu May 20 2010 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season rmbjoe1954   Thu Mar 11 2010 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season lawman6713   Sat Mar 27 2010 05:50 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season GoBigSurf   Sun Apr 11 2010 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Storm Hunter   Sun Apr 11 2010 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season CDMOrlando   Thu Mar 04 2010 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season jessiej   Wed Mar 03 2010 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Feb 18 2010 09:28 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season JoshuaK   Sat Feb 20 2010 07:13 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Hurricane29   Sat Feb 20 2010 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season B.C.Francis   Mon Feb 22 2010 12:34 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season enterlaughing   Mon Mar 01 2010 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for the 2010 Season Hurricane29   Thu Feb 18 2010 12:27 PM

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