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Archives 2010s >> 2010 News Talkbacks

scottsvb
Weather Master

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Posts: 1184
Loc: fl

Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon
Sat May 22 2010 01:33 AM

I dont trust any models in May-June.. they are usually all over the place and form things that just dont quite make it. GFS is always gun-ho like the CMC model does all year in the carribean.. Maybe the Euro might have the best idea if anything, but still will change every 12 hrs.

For the carribean, its just a wait and see. Dont get too excited if you see the GFS,GFDL or CMC or TBH any model forecast a tropical system, cause anything more than 2 days out.. forget it!!

The system off the bahamas and the carolinas has a better chance only cause its not going to be tropical
when it gets going. But will it become subtropical or tropical in 5 days or more? Well 5 days is too far out, we
do know it will be a rain maker and gusty winds 40-50mph to the N of the center. And where will it make landfall
if any? Well its too early to say that also. This may just meander around 30dg N over the next 3-5days. Too far
out to tell if this heads SW towards Florida or E with the westerlys as the subtropical Jet heads further north to 25-30N.

All in All... just wait and see, by Monday-Tuesday we will see whats happening, but for now models change.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
2010 Season Arriving Soon, Noaa's Numbers Out	MikeC	Sat May 22 2010 01:33 AM
Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon, Special Tropical Weather Outlook Issued	cieldumort	Thu May 27 2010 10:12 AM
Re: 90L	Storm Hunter	Wed May 26 2010 05:24 PM
Re: 90L	Ed in Va	Mon May 24 2010 11:10 AM
Re: 90L	Ed Dunham	Mon May 24 2010 09:25 AM
Re: 90L	GlenJohnson	Mon May 24 2010 08:53 AM
Re: 90L	Ed Dunham	Mon May 24 2010 12:09 AM
90L	danielw	Sun May 23 2010 05:49 PM
Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon	MichaelA	Sun May 23 2010 04:06 PM
Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon	weatherguy08	Sun May 23 2010 12:54 PM
Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon	MichaelA	Sun May 23 2010 07:02 AM
Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon	scottsvb	Sat May 22 2010 01:33 AM
Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon	cieldumort	Fri May 21 2010 05:35 PM
Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon	GlenJohnson	Fri May 21 2010 05:26 PM
Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon	Tony Cristaldi	Fri May 21 2010 08:41 AM
Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon	danielw	Fri May 21 2010 07:54 AM
Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon	MikeC	Fri May 21 2010 06:30 AM
Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon	hogrunr	Wed May 19 2010 10:07 AM
Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon	Tony Cristaldi	Wed May 19 2010 09:55 AM
Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon	MikeC	Tue May 18 2010 09:36 AM

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