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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2306
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched
      Sun Jun 13 2010 07:38 AM

Been keeping one eye out on this wave for quite a while now. By any measure, 92L is extremely robust for the location given the time of year - and it has been traveling in a cocoon of high water vapor content and relatively low shear for the better part of its exit from Africa. While a tight low level circulation does not look to have formed - yet - 92L appears to be embodied by a modest gyre (at least for the Atlantic basin) with a few embedded eddies or maxes.

In the very near term, the current low latitude trajectory should serve to both hinder and benefit. On one hand, there isn't going to be much in the way of any significant boost from the Coriolis effect that far south, but on the other, staying under 10-15 north keeps the system traveling over higher SSTs and out of detrimental shear.

It seems reasonable to conclude that a significant window for further development is open through at least the next 24 to perhaps as many as 72 hours. After that, if 92L has not yet developed a solid inner core, either some potential interactions with land/near land effects, or a run in with increasing shear and dry air from its north/northwest, could put a stop to any further development for at least a day or few.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched MikeCAdministrator Sun Jun 13 2010 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Storm Hunter   Sun Jun 20 2010 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Doombot!   Sun Jun 20 2010 05:17 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched JoshuaK   Sun Jun 20 2010 02:24 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched MichaelA   Sat Jun 19 2010 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched berrywr   Sat Jun 19 2010 07:30 AM
. * * Re: links and 92L berrywr   Sat Jun 19 2010 07:18 AM
. * * Re: links and 92L Old Sailor   Sat Jun 19 2010 01:58 AM
. * * links and 92L danielwAdministrator   Fri Jun 18 2010 11:07 PM
. * * links saltysenior   Fri Jun 18 2010 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched danielwAdministrator   Fri Jun 18 2010 04:32 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched hogrunr   Thu Jun 17 2010 08:29 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Ed in Va   Thu Jun 17 2010 07:30 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched danielwAdministrator   Thu Jun 17 2010 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched JoshuaK   Thu Jun 17 2010 11:54 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 16 2010 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Adam S   Wed Jun 16 2010 04:06 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched doug   Wed Jun 16 2010 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 16 2010 01:20 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched rmbjoe1954   Wed Jun 16 2010 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Storm Hunter   Wed Jun 16 2010 04:51 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Lamar-Plant City   Wed Jun 16 2010 04:24 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jun 16 2010 03:43 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched cieldumort   Wed Jun 16 2010 03:01 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched hogrunr   Wed Jun 16 2010 12:14 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched danielwAdministrator   Tue Jun 15 2010 11:54 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched cieldumort   Tue Jun 15 2010 08:11 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM? Storm Hunter   Tue Jun 15 2010 07:31 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM? hogrunr   Tue Jun 15 2010 06:26 PM
. * * 92L and GOM? danielwAdministrator   Tue Jun 15 2010 04:10 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched cieldumort   Tue Jun 15 2010 07:20 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Storm Hunter   Tue Jun 15 2010 05:55 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Jun 15 2010 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Joeyfl   Tue Jun 15 2010 01:22 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched jessiej   Tue Jun 15 2010 12:46 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Hugh   Tue Jun 15 2010 12:37 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 14 2010 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Hugh   Mon Jun 14 2010 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Storm Hunter   Mon Jun 14 2010 08:29 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched cieldumort   Mon Jun 14 2010 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched MichaelA   Mon Jun 14 2010 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 14 2010 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Hugh   Mon Jun 14 2010 12:57 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 14 2010 12:06 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Hugh   Mon Jun 14 2010 11:46 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 14 2010 10:51 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched weathernet   Mon Jun 14 2010 07:15 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Clark   Mon Jun 14 2010 12:12 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Hugh   Sun Jun 13 2010 11:52 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched typhoon_tip   Sun Jun 13 2010 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Invest 92L Appears To Be Organizing Better Hugh   Sun Jun 13 2010 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Invest 92L Appears To Be Organizing Better MichaelA   Sun Jun 13 2010 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Invest 92L Appears To Be Organizing Better scottsvb   Sun Jun 13 2010 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Invest 92L Appears To Be Organizing Better Scottsvb1   Sun Jun 13 2010 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Invest 92L Appears To Be Organizing Better Hugh   Sun Jun 13 2010 02:38 PM
. * * Invest 92L Appears To Be Organizing Better CoconutCandy   Sun Jun 13 2010 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 13 2010 01:40 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched marco67red   Sun Jun 13 2010 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 13 2010 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 13 2010 12:21 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched cieldumort   Sun Jun 13 2010 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched Storm Hunter   Sun Jun 13 2010 05:20 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched LoisCane   Sun Jun 13 2010 04:49 AM

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