Quite impressive to have a quasi-Cape Verde storm even with a possibility of developing in the middle of June.
Convection seems to have warmed a bit over the last several hours. I'd say 30% chance may be generous. The visible loop does show the beginning of a LLC, though. If that holds together for the next day or two, it's probably going to get organized enough by then to be classified. Models are a bit disturbing in putting this thing through the islands.
-------------------- Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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