Quote: NHC has as of 2PM elevated their probability to 50% and I feel rightfully so. It is important not to be hung up on climatology; climate does not dictate what any given event will do, but is cumulative result of many seasons, then normalized.
As of 8pm, it's now a code red, 60%. Based upon current satellite presentation trends, I expect we will have TD One by the 11am advisory package tomorrow, if not before.... IF the organization trend continues.
-------------------- Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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