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Archives 2010s >> 2010 News Talkbacks

cieldumort
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Posts: 2306
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched
Mon Jun 14 2010 04:05 PM

92L appears to have consolidated somewhat under the deeper convection of the very late overnight and this morning. Positions still carrying the cyclone at anywhere under 10N are probably quite obsolete at this point, as the center of 92L is now traveling along and/or within deeper convection, and perhaps already somewhere in the vicinity of 10.5 to 10.8 N and 40.1 to 40.5 or so W.

As of 1500 UTC, 92L now resembles in many ways many of those short-lived tropical depressions or weak tropical storms of the central Pacific. I think that it is regrettable that QS is no longer online, as this could very well perhaps by now have confirmed the existence of a primary, satisfying llc. 92L sure looks as close to "there" as I have just about ever seen. Convection is maybe still a bit wanting, but I've certainly seen worse on other systems befitting of the title.

Dr. Rick Knabb, now TWC's tropical expert (replacing Dr. Steve Lyons who has gone back to work for the NWS), was on just a little while ago opining that there is little to no shear ahead of 92L. I find that statement a bit puzzling, as it appears that 92L is already starting to feel the first bites of increased shear and a little less precipitable water, and that a zone of much higher shear and drier air exists not far to its north and northwest (up ahead), and while some models want to lift the trof imparting that shear, model shear forecasts also do not guarantee that will go away any time in the very near future - at the rate 92L is traveling interaction with this razor could easily occur before any such lifting away of the shear takes place.

Should the trof indeed pull up and allow 92L to remain coddled within its envelope of low shear and high water vapor content, the outlook for the islands later this week or next could get worrisome.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	MikeC	Mon Jun 14 2010 04:05 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Storm Hunter	Sun Jun 20 2010 08:42 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Doombot!	Sun Jun 20 2010 05:17 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	JoshuaK	Sun Jun 20 2010 02:24 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	MichaelA	Sat Jun 19 2010 01:08 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	berrywr	Sat Jun 19 2010 07:30 AM
Re: links and 92L	berrywr	Sat Jun 19 2010 07:18 AM
Re: links and 92L	Old Sailor	Sat Jun 19 2010 01:58 AM
links and 92L	danielw	Fri Jun 18 2010 11:07 PM
links	saltysenior	Fri Jun 18 2010 10:32 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	danielw	Fri Jun 18 2010 04:32 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	hogrunr	Thu Jun 17 2010 08:29 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Ed in Va	Thu Jun 17 2010 07:30 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	danielw	Thu Jun 17 2010 12:32 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	JoshuaK	Thu Jun 17 2010 11:54 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	MikeC	Wed Jun 16 2010 04:15 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Adam S	Wed Jun 16 2010 04:06 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	doug	Wed Jun 16 2010 03:17 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	danielw	Wed Jun 16 2010 01:20 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	rmbjoe1954	Wed Jun 16 2010 12:36 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Storm Hunter	Wed Jun 16 2010 04:51 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Lamar-Plant City	Wed Jun 16 2010 04:24 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Ed Dunham	Wed Jun 16 2010 03:43 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	cieldumort	Wed Jun 16 2010 03:01 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	hogrunr	Wed Jun 16 2010 12:14 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	danielw	Tue Jun 15 2010 11:54 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	cieldumort	Tue Jun 15 2010 08:11 PM
Re: 92L and GOM?	Storm Hunter	Tue Jun 15 2010 07:31 PM
Re: 92L and GOM?	hogrunr	Tue Jun 15 2010 06:26 PM
92L and GOM?	danielw	Tue Jun 15 2010 04:10 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	cieldumort	Tue Jun 15 2010 07:20 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Storm Hunter	Tue Jun 15 2010 05:55 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Ed Dunham	Tue Jun 15 2010 02:11 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Joeyfl	Tue Jun 15 2010 01:22 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	jessiej	Tue Jun 15 2010 12:46 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Hugh	Tue Jun 15 2010 12:37 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	MikeC	Mon Jun 14 2010 10:18 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Hugh	Mon Jun 14 2010 09:01 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Storm Hunter	Mon Jun 14 2010 08:29 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	cieldumort	Mon Jun 14 2010 04:05 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	MichaelA	Mon Jun 14 2010 03:37 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	MikeC	Mon Jun 14 2010 01:02 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Hugh	Mon Jun 14 2010 12:57 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	MikeC	Mon Jun 14 2010 12:06 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Hugh	Mon Jun 14 2010 11:46 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	MikeC	Mon Jun 14 2010 10:51 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	weathernet	Mon Jun 14 2010 07:15 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Clark	Mon Jun 14 2010 12:12 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Hugh	Sun Jun 13 2010 11:52 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	typhoon_tip	Sun Jun 13 2010 11:35 PM
Re: Invest 92L Appears To Be Organizing Better	Hugh	Sun Jun 13 2010 05:29 PM
Re: Invest 92L Appears To Be Organizing Better	MichaelA	Sun Jun 13 2010 05:18 PM
Re: Invest 92L Appears To Be Organizing Better	scottsvb	Sun Jun 13 2010 03:30 PM
Re: Invest 92L Appears To Be Organizing Better	Scottsvb1	Sun Jun 13 2010 03:27 PM
Re: Invest 92L Appears To Be Organizing Better	Hugh	Sun Jun 13 2010 02:38 PM
Invest 92L Appears To Be Organizing Better	CoconutCandy	Sun Jun 13 2010 02:12 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	MikeC	Sun Jun 13 2010 01:40 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	marco67red	Sun Jun 13 2010 01:31 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	MikeC	Sun Jun 13 2010 12:45 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	danielw	Sun Jun 13 2010 12:21 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	cieldumort	Sun Jun 13 2010 07:38 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	Storm Hunter	Sun Jun 13 2010 05:20 AM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched	LoisCane	Sun Jun 13 2010 04:49 AM

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