Quote: What are the chances that 92L survives the shear and becomes a tropical depression? On satelite right now 92L looks like a depression.
It's pretty much done, path will keep it an open wave and bring some rain to the islands. It'll be watched for a while, but I still can't see it developing into anything. My usual approach of finding reasons it won't develop and then eliminating them one by one until it has a decent chance, not the other way around. Climatology (It's June!) and the shear nw of the system were two things I couldn't ignore the last few days, and it's still the main driver of why I think it won't ever amount to anything.
The importance of the various factors change over the course of the season, but early and late season climatology is really far up there as a negative development factor. (Not so much between July-October)
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