Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The Atlantic is quiet
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 44 (Milton) , Major: 44 (Milton) Florida - Any: 44 (Milton) Major: 44 (Milton)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged:
Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
Central Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge
      Mon Jun 21 2010 06:53 AM

I'm putting up a forecast lounge entry for the wave in the East Caribbean (currently not an invest), because of the model runs which are sure to catch a few folks off guard.

In particular:



The model is in the lounge since I think models this far out are about worthless, but it may bring some discussion.

Other models, such as the GFS don't show this right now, although the Canadian hints at it too.

Track wise, Long range it could be Yucatan, or Gulf. More likely because of the overall pattern and model performance in the past, 93L will more likely move toward the Yucatan.

The SHIPS intensity model is fairly high on the end too. The GFS Model doesn't develop it at all yet, and the NAM suggest the Yucatan route.

Hype surely will be high with this--but It is still June, and the early intensity and track models are usually garbage.

If the models are still showing this by tomorrow night, then it may be worth something.



Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Central Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator Mon Jun 21 2010 06:53 AM
. * * Re: Central Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge stormtiger   Thu Jun 24 2010 05:26 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 21 2010 09:38 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge Hugh   Mon Jun 21 2010 10:15 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge stormtiger   Tue Jun 22 2010 10:03 AM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jun 22 2010 09:55 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge stormtiger   Wed Jun 23 2010 02:09 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 23 2010 02:26 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge stormtiger   Wed Jun 23 2010 03:10 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 21 2010 05:49 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge stormtiger   Mon Jun 21 2010 05:07 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge Hugh   Mon Jun 21 2010 01:52 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Mon Jun 21 2010 10:12 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 1 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 9108

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center