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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
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Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge
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stormtiger
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 73
Loc: Baton Rouge, La.
Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge
      Mon Jun 21 2010 09:07 PM

It appears 93L is under a developing high pressure ridge. There is a very favorable outflow situation at the upper levels.

I can not see any low level cyclonic turning which in the short run may help keep any dry air from the South American continent from getting into the tropical wave.

I can't see anything happening tonight or early tomorrow; but tomorrow night we may see a depression begin to form.

Down the road things look favorable with little shear; however, it is still June albeit late June and the likelehood of a hurricane tracking from a depression in the Central Carribean to the GOM is not really very high. Things can change quickly this time of the year and the subtropical jet could still be a factor late in the week. as what I think will be TS Alex passes West of Jamaica.

The set up looks good, but it's still June.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Central Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator Mon Jun 21 2010 09:07 PM
. * * Re: Central Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge stormtiger   Thu Jun 24 2010 09:26 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jun 22 2010 01:38 AM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge Hugh   Tue Jun 22 2010 02:15 AM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge stormtiger   Tue Jun 22 2010 02:03 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 23 2010 01:55 AM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge stormtiger   Wed Jun 23 2010 06:09 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 23 2010 06:26 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge stormtiger   Wed Jun 23 2010 07:10 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 21 2010 09:49 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge stormtiger   Mon Jun 21 2010 09:07 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge Hugh   Mon Jun 21 2010 05:52 PM
. * * Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Mon Jun 21 2010 02:12 PM

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