Latest loops as of 19Z have Alex moving WNW with a slight right turn as it now is about to re-emerge over the GOM though continuing to weaken. I don't know what to think about the models but unlike two days ago when it was only the GFS and GFDL in the poleward camp today both have company. TX/LA? It's hard to bite on that left turn at the end of the forecast period looking at how the longwave trough over the east and upper ridge over the center of the country sets up...but damn those models. Strong shear is migrating northward now near 24N latitude so it appears the upper ridge over Alex is a long for the ride and that's not good. A forecast is only as good as consistent model to model run....I'm not comfortable speculating about anything.
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Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW
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