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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW
      Sun Jun 27 2010 11:09 PM

Quote:

Recon 304 is about 100 miles north of the yucatan. Pretty sure by the time the turn SW and arrive at Alex... the COC will be back over water



Uh, since the COC has been back over water for at least an hour, I'd say it's a pretty good bet that it will still be over water when the plane gets there

Edit: Looking at the approaching trough... I'm beginning to think one of two scenarios will unfold...
1) Alex misses the trough, and heads basically due west into Mexico - not like, in my opinon
2) The trough picks Alex up and moves it almost due north, toward the central Gulf Coast. In this scenario, the westward movement would, in my view, end rather abruptly... putting Alex onshore no further west than Galveston, and I think closer to the TX/LA border. The trough axis seems almost verticle to me.

--------------------
Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)


Edited by Hugh (Sun Jun 27 2010 11:14 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Alex Now in Gulf MikeCAdministrator Sun Jun 27 2010 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW typhoon_tip   Mon Jun 28 2010 02:42 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 28 2010 02:40 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Hugh   Mon Jun 28 2010 02:35 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 28 2010 02:32 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW mwillis   Mon Jun 28 2010 01:39 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Storm Hunter   Mon Jun 28 2010 01:35 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Storm Hunter   Mon Jun 28 2010 01:16 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Hugh   Mon Jun 28 2010 01:07 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW TheOtherRick   Mon Jun 28 2010 01:06 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW WeatherNut   Mon Jun 28 2010 12:56 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Storm Hunter   Mon Jun 28 2010 12:56 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Storm Hunter   Mon Jun 28 2010 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW typhoon_tip   Mon Jun 28 2010 12:38 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW typhoon_tip   Mon Jun 28 2010 12:33 AM
. * * convection firing 360 SeaMule   Mon Jun 28 2010 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Alex Landfalls in Belize Storm Hunter   Mon Jun 28 2010 12:14 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Alex Landfalls in Belize Hugh   Mon Jun 28 2010 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Alex Landfalls in Belize Storm Hunter   Mon Jun 28 2010 12:01 AM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Jun 28 2010 12:01 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Alex Landfalls in Belize Storm Hunter   Sun Jun 27 2010 11:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Alex Landfalls in Belize WeatherNut   Sun Jun 27 2010 11:51 PM
. * * Re: zoom in on the RGB Storm Hunter   Sun Jun 27 2010 11:51 PM
. * * zoom in on the RGB SeaMule   Sun Jun 27 2010 11:39 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Hugh   Sun Jun 27 2010 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 27 2010 11:23 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Hugh   Sun Jun 27 2010 11:20 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW TheOtherRick   Sun Jun 27 2010 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Hugh   Sun Jun 27 2010 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Storm Hunter   Sun Jun 27 2010 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Hugh   Sun Jun 27 2010 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Storm Hunter   Sun Jun 27 2010 10:20 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW analyst   Sun Jun 27 2010 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 27 2010 09:38 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW WeatherNut   Sun Jun 27 2010 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW WeatherNut   Sun Jun 27 2010 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW Storm Hunter   Sun Jun 27 2010 09:19 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW CLWeather   Sun Jun 27 2010 09:16 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW typhoon_tip   Sun Jun 27 2010 09:09 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 27 2010 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW LoisCane   Sun Jun 27 2010 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW LoisCane   Sun Jun 27 2010 07:26 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW SirCane   Sun Jun 27 2010 07:06 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW berrywr   Sun Jun 27 2010 06:54 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW SeaMule   Sun Jun 27 2010 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 27 2010 06:39 PM
. * * Re: TS Alex typhoon_tip   Sun Jun 27 2010 06:38 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 27 2010 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW the analyst   Sun Jun 27 2010 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW WeatherNut   Sun Jun 27 2010 04:28 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW mcgowanmc   Sun Jun 27 2010 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW hogrunr   Sun Jun 27 2010 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 27 2010 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW stormtiger   Sun Jun 27 2010 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW hogrunr   Sun Jun 27 2010 02:48 PM
. * * Alex Continues Toward The WNW Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 27 2010 02:41 PM
. * * forecast SeaMule   Sun Jun 27 2010 01:54 PM
. * * Re: TS Alex danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 27 2010 01:10 PM
. * * Re: TS Alex MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 27 2010 12:45 PM
. * * Re: TS Alex MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 27 2010 12:03 PM
. * * TS Alex danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 27 2010 11:20 AM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET Storm Hunter   Sun Jun 27 2010 11:04 AM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 27 2010 02:01 AM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 27 2010 01:45 AM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET Storm Hunter   Sat Jun 26 2010 11:04 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET Old Sailor   Sat Jun 26 2010 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Alex nears Landfall in Belize cieldumort   Sat Jun 26 2010 08:58 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET berrywr   Sat Jun 26 2010 08:44 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET berrywr   Sat Jun 26 2010 08:36 PM
. * * TS Alex danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 26 2010 08:31 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET Storm Hunter   Sat Jun 26 2010 08:08 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET WeatherNut   Sat Jun 26 2010 07:39 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 26 2010 07:35 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET WeatherNut   Sat Jun 26 2010 07:34 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET WeatherNut   Sat Jun 26 2010 06:54 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET Storm Hunter   Sat Jun 26 2010 06:52 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 26 2010 06:48 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 26 2010 06:42 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET typhoon_tip   Sat Jun 26 2010 06:40 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET Storm Hunter   Sat Jun 26 2010 06:34 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 26 2010 05:55 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET WeatherNut   Sat Jun 26 2010 05:50 PM
. * * Re: TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 26 2010 11:35 AM
. * * TD1 Upgraded to TS Alex as of 5 am ET berrywr   Sat Jun 26 2010 09:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean WeatherNut   Sat Jun 26 2010 05:32 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean LakeToho   Sat Jun 26 2010 05:16 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean Storm Hunter   Sat Jun 26 2010 02:40 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean Hugh   Sat Jun 26 2010 02:39 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean Storm Hunter   Sat Jun 26 2010 02:15 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean mwillis   Sat Jun 26 2010 02:12 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 26 2010 02:06 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean Hugh   Sat Jun 26 2010 01:24 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean JordanBell   Sat Jun 26 2010 01:17 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean Hugh   Sat Jun 26 2010 01:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean Storm Hunter   Sat Jun 26 2010 12:58 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean Hugh   Sat Jun 26 2010 12:49 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean ftlaudbob   Sat Jun 26 2010 12:39 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean Hugh   Sat Jun 26 2010 12:06 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean Storm Hunter   Fri Jun 25 2010 11:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean WeatherNut   Fri Jun 25 2010 11:48 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean Hugh   Fri Jun 25 2010 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 25 2010 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression One forms in West Caribbean doug   Fri Jun 25 2010 10:58 PM

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