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SeaMule
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 64
Loc: Fairhope, Al...on the coast
this is a huge storm
      Mon Jun 28 2010 09:31 PM

heavy cloud cover is wrapping around the storm. look at the size of the storm...and watch the wrapping of CDO. this storm will be huge, i think....and anyone who thinks that the NHC, or anyone else...has a wrap on this storm...is foolish. the only reason the NHC doesn't make sudden changes to their forecast, is because they are naturally conservative. It's as I said before. NONE of the models have gotten the fwd speed right. therefore, they are only human input of data. They can be amazingly accurate. But when a storm defies again and again the data...it's time to think from the gut. This thing is heading to the north gulf coast...imho

(The description of the Forecast Lounge says that 'gut' forecasts go here. )

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Jun 28 2010 09:58 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Alex Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator Mon Jun 28 2010 09:31 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches Up for Alex Rick99   Mon Jun 28 2010 10:50 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches Up for Alex Rick99   Mon Jun 28 2010 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches Up for Alex allan   Wed Jun 30 2010 11:21 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches Up for Alex mwillis   Wed Jun 30 2010 11:48 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches Up for Alex danielwAdministrator   Mon Jun 28 2010 11:07 PM
. * * this is a huge storm SeaMule   Mon Jun 28 2010 09:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Alex in Bay of Campeche Rick99   Mon Jun 28 2010 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Alex in Bay of Campeche Rick99   Mon Jun 28 2010 10:00 PM
. * * Re: TD#1 Forecast Lounge berrywr   Sat Jun 26 2010 03:29 AM
. * * Re: TD#1 Forecast Lounge Ed in Va   Fri Jun 25 2010 09:35 PM
. * * Re: TD#1 Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Fri Jun 25 2010 09:56 PM
. * * Re: TD#1 Forecast Lounge berrywr   Sat Jun 26 2010 03:41 AM
. * * Re: TD#1 Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Sun Jun 27 2010 09:13 AM
. * * Re: TD#1 Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Fri Jun 25 2010 11:06 PM

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