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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4545
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: strength
      Thu Jul 01 2010 11:15 AM

The models in general did poorly on Alex until late on the 25th, when a few started finally pointing the general direction where it went, even though plenty were split at the time. For a while the models were so consistently wrong to the north, I was really starting to think it may not ever get in the Bay of Campeche, but enough of a weakness in the ridge made it go northward a bit, enough to get quite a few people concerned it may head even further north.

Water vapor imagery kinda hampered that, and suggested a more westerly turn, which eventually did happen. The Hurricane center nailed the hurricane warning area pretty good, considering how large the storm was. It'll stay fairly strong until the center of the system runs against the mountains in Mexico, at which point it'll probably dissipate quickly.

The ongoing rainfall problem will probably be the largest story from Alex.

After Alex It'll probably be quiet for a bit (not long enough however), the most likely areas for July development are the West Caribbean, and Gulf, as well as west Atlantic start creeping in, toward later July you can start to consider African waves a bit more. The place to watch into next week is the Gulf, however.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Category 2 Hurricane Alex Makes Landfall along Northeast Mexican Coastline MikeCAdministrator Thu Jul 01 2010 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Jul 02 2010 12:27 AM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. WeatherNut   Fri Jul 02 2010 12:05 AM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. stormtiger   Thu Jul 01 2010 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. tropicswatch   Thu Jul 01 2010 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 01 2010 05:59 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. Troy C   Thu Jul 01 2010 04:57 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. doug   Thu Jul 01 2010 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. JMII   Thu Jul 01 2010 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. Ed in Va   Thu Jul 01 2010 02:37 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. stormtiger   Thu Jul 01 2010 01:36 PM
. * * Alex... Last page. danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 01 2010 11:42 AM
. * * Re: strength MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 01 2010 11:15 AM
. * * Re: strength berrywr   Thu Jul 01 2010 05:57 AM
. * * Re: Administrative Note JMII   Thu Jul 01 2010 02:05 AM
. * * Re: Administrative Note MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 01 2010 02:00 AM
. * * Administrative Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 01 2010 01:36 AM
. * * Re: strength Storm Hunter   Thu Jul 01 2010 01:28 AM
. * * Re: strength cieldumort   Thu Jul 01 2010 01:15 AM
. * * strength SeaMule   Thu Jul 01 2010 01:02 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 01 2010 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen mwillis   Wed Jun 30 2010 11:24 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen WeatherNut   Wed Jun 30 2010 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen JMII   Wed Jun 30 2010 09:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen mwillis   Wed Jun 30 2010 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen Storm Hunter   Wed Jun 30 2010 09:37 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen cieldumort   Wed Jun 30 2010 09:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen WeatherNut   Wed Jun 30 2010 08:51 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen JMII   Wed Jun 30 2010 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen mwillis   Wed Jun 30 2010 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen berrywr   Wed Jun 30 2010 07:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen berrywr   Wed Jun 30 2010 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen tropicswatch   Wed Jun 30 2010 05:33 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen berrywr   Wed Jun 30 2010 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen allan   Wed Jun 30 2010 04:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 04:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 04:32 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen allan   Wed Jun 30 2010 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen WeatherNut   Wed Jun 30 2010 04:08 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen mwillis   Wed Jun 30 2010 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen Ed in Va   Wed Jun 30 2010 02:59 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen cieldumort   Wed Jun 30 2010 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 02:18 PM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche mwillis   Wed Jun 30 2010 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche stormtiger   Wed Jun 30 2010 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche mwillis   Wed Jun 30 2010 01:13 PM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 12:37 PM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche Storm Hunter   Wed Jun 30 2010 08:57 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche Storm Hunter   Wed Jun 30 2010 08:55 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche berrywr   Wed Jun 30 2010 05:35 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche cieldumort   Wed Jun 30 2010 05:01 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 02:40 AM

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