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#95L in the Tropical Atlantic with now 80% NHC odds of becoming a Tropical Cyclone. Those in the Lesser Antilles should watch closely.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 302 (Idalia) , Major: 302 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 302 (Idalia) Major: 302 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2010 News Talkbacks

stormtiger
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 73
Loc: Baton Rouge, La.
Re: Alex... Last page.
      Thu Jul 01 2010 09:36 AM

Alex was a very interesting system to track beginning in the Eastrn Carribean until it reached the Mexican coastline.

I think it proved how much climatology affects systems in ways many of us including myself do not understand. Would the same system in August in the Eastern Carribean produced a Cat IV or V storm down the road? I'd have to guess yes.

947mb at landfall is a very low pressure for June, but the enormous size and the flooding rains may offset the lack of windspeed and in fact prove more deadly since the area of Mexico where the eye passed isn't very densely populated.

Katrina hit as a Cat III storm I believe yet the surge was of epic proportions. Alex hit with a falling barometer at 947mb; yet was "only" a Cat II storm.

these two hurricanes prove that despite our attempts to label these monsters, each storm is almost like an individual with varying characteristics. Presure doesn't always equal wind speed, and wind speed at landfall doesn't always equal storm surge, and people need to recognize that when the NHC posts a warning there is imminent danger.

I know people in Biloxi who felt they were safe pre Katrina just because they survived Camille a much stronger landfalling hurricane that hit land closer to their home; yet in the end Katrina proved far more powerful. They said in a sense Camille killed even though it was years later.

Looking ahead, does an A Cat two hurricane in June make a severe hurricane season more likely? I bet Mr Ed could tell us that fairly quickly. The ingredients are there; warm waters, weakening trade winds, etc.; but as Alex just proved hurricanes are hard to predict and hard to label. We will have to wait and see what develops.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Category 2 Hurricane Alex Makes Landfall along Northeast Mexican Coastline MikeCAdministrator Thu Jul 01 2010 09:36 AM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 01 2010 08:27 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. WeatherNut   Thu Jul 01 2010 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. stormtiger   Thu Jul 01 2010 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. tropicswatch   Thu Jul 01 2010 02:56 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 01 2010 01:59 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. Troy C   Thu Jul 01 2010 12:57 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. doug   Thu Jul 01 2010 12:44 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. JMII   Thu Jul 01 2010 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. Ed in Va   Thu Jul 01 2010 10:37 AM
. * * Re: Alex... Last page. stormtiger   Thu Jul 01 2010 09:36 AM
. * * Alex... Last page. danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 01 2010 07:42 AM
. * * Re: strength MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 01 2010 07:15 AM
. * * Re: strength berrywr   Thu Jul 01 2010 01:57 AM
. * * Re: Administrative Note JMII   Wed Jun 30 2010 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Administrative Note MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 10:00 PM
. * * Administrative Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 09:36 PM
. * * Re: strength Storm Hunter   Wed Jun 30 2010 09:28 PM
. * * Re: strength cieldumort   Wed Jun 30 2010 09:15 PM
. * * strength SeaMule   Wed Jun 30 2010 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 08:20 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen mwillis   Wed Jun 30 2010 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen WeatherNut   Wed Jun 30 2010 06:49 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen JMII   Wed Jun 30 2010 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen mwillis   Wed Jun 30 2010 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen Storm Hunter   Wed Jun 30 2010 05:37 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen cieldumort   Wed Jun 30 2010 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen WeatherNut   Wed Jun 30 2010 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen JMII   Wed Jun 30 2010 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen mwillis   Wed Jun 30 2010 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen berrywr   Wed Jun 30 2010 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen berrywr   Wed Jun 30 2010 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen tropicswatch   Wed Jun 30 2010 01:33 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen berrywr   Wed Jun 30 2010 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen allan   Wed Jun 30 2010 12:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 12:48 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen allan   Wed Jun 30 2010 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 12:18 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen WeatherNut   Wed Jun 30 2010 12:08 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen mwillis   Wed Jun 30 2010 11:12 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen Ed in Va   Wed Jun 30 2010 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Alex Continues to Strengthen cieldumort   Wed Jun 30 2010 10:51 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche mwillis   Wed Jun 30 2010 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 09:48 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche stormtiger   Wed Jun 30 2010 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche mwillis   Wed Jun 30 2010 09:13 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 08:37 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 07:04 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche Storm Hunter   Wed Jun 30 2010 04:57 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche Storm Hunter   Wed Jun 30 2010 04:55 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche berrywr   Wed Jun 30 2010 01:35 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche cieldumort   Wed Jun 30 2010 01:01 AM
. * * Re: Alex Becomes Hurricane in Bay of Campeche MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jun 29 2010 10:40 PM

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