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Gulf of Mexico Invest #92L now 80% NHC odds of development. Advisories could begin as soon as today or Sunday. #Flwx
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 8 (Helene) , Major: 8 (Helene) Florida - Any: 8 (Helene) Major: 8 (Helene)
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Wind: 130MPH
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10.3N 33.6W
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doug
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: Possible New Tropical Low along Gulf Coast?
      Thu Jul 01 2010 04:16 PM

The pounding of the moderate to heavy rain on the roof of my office in Ft. Myers got me out of my work mode and into what's next and how close is it?
Our current situation here is a 30.00 in barometer with heavy rain. The radar presentation is: cells over the peninsula are moving to the NW, but a large mass of rain is falling southward off the panhandle. The satellite presentation is confirmation that the TUTT which had been retrograding from the Bahamas is now sharper and extends down over Cuba. A cyclonic presentation is accompanying the cloud presentation over that island.
My reading from as many sources as I can consult is that overall conditions would support development, and the ECMWF solution, which I understood was to allow development south of Cuba in about a week was the model of choice.
However, it would not take much surface lowering of pressure given the current physical presentation near the west coast of Florida to get something going, in my humble and very uneducated opinion.

--------------------
doug

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Possible New Tropical Low along Gulf Coast? berrywr Thu Jul 01 2010 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Possible New Tropical Low along Gulf Coast? CLWeather   Thu Jul 01 2010 01:49 PM
. * * Re: Possible New Tropical Low along Gulf Coast? doug   Thu Jul 01 2010 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - NE GOM Storm Hunter   Thu Jul 01 2010 01:40 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - NE GOM danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 01 2010 07:58 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - NE GOM berrywr   Thu Jul 01 2010 02:24 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - NE GOM danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2010 08:00 AM

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