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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 277 (Idalia) , Major: 277 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 277 (Idalia) Major: 277 (Idalia)
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berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: Stirring in the Tropics, but no Development
      Mon Jul 05 2010 08:11 PM

There is a diffuse stationary front that lies from St. Augustine WSW to the west coast of FL and an argument could be made there's nothing left of it. In the upper air is where things are complicated. There is an upper low and/or inverted upper trough draping the entire northern Gulf coast extending W and SW to another upper low off the Southern TX coast. Hot upper ridge over the NE USA and a deeper upper low off DELMARVA. Forcast has another upper long wave trough for the Eastern US broader and reaching the Deep South in 4 to 5 days.

Models have whatever may develop with a date with S TX but wind shear analysis has the western and central GOM and the W Caribbean open for business, despite an upper low off the S TX coast.

If a depression develops, the upcoming upper pattern will be very, very complicated.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Depression Two Forms in Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator Mon Jul 05 2010 08:11 PM
. * * Re: 96L Heads Up 80% Chance of Development MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 08 2010 02:58 AM
. * * Re: 96L Heads Up 80% Chance of Development allan   Thu Jul 08 2010 02:54 AM
. * * Re: 96L Heads Up 80% Chance of Development LoisCane   Thu Jul 08 2010 01:19 AM
. * * 96L Heads Up 80% Chance of Development danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 08 2010 12:14 AM
. * * Re: Wave in Gulf Likely to Remain Weak WesnWylie   Wed Jul 07 2010 06:04 PM
. * * Re: 96L berrywr   Wed Jul 07 2010 06:42 AM
. * * Re: 96L WesnWylie   Wed Jul 07 2010 04:21 AM
. * * Re: 96L WeatherNut   Wed Jul 07 2010 02:04 AM
. * * Re: 96L Ed in Va   Tue Jul 06 2010 11:28 PM
. * * Re: 96L WesnWylie   Tue Jul 06 2010 11:19 PM
. * * 96L danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 06 2010 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana ppdmike   Tue Jul 06 2010 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana hogrunr   Tue Jul 06 2010 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana WeatherNut   Tue Jul 06 2010 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 06 2010 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana hogrunr   Tue Jul 06 2010 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana WesnWylie   Tue Jul 06 2010 01:35 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 06 2010 01:24 PM
. * * 95L inland. Moving along Interstate 10 West danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 06 2010 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana WesnWylie   Tue Jul 06 2010 04:49 AM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana cieldumort   Tue Jul 06 2010 04:17 AM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana docrod   Tue Jul 06 2010 03:27 AM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 06 2010 02:48 AM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana WesnWylie   Tue Jul 06 2010 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana cieldumort   Mon Jul 05 2010 11:54 PM
. * * Invest 95L May Soon Reach TD Status Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Jul 05 2010 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Stirring in the Tropics, but no Development berrywr   Mon Jul 05 2010 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Stirring in the Tropics, but no Development k___g   Mon Jul 05 2010 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Stirring in the Tropics, but no Development Lamar-Plant City   Mon Jul 05 2010 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Stirring in the Tropics, but no Development JMII   Mon Jul 05 2010 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Stirring in the Tropics, but no Development WesnWylie   Mon Jul 05 2010 02:00 PM

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