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berrywr
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: 96L
      Wed Jul 07 2010 02:42 AM

I took a look at the satellite image you posted and data that corresponded to it. There continues to be an upper low off the TX coast. At 850 millibars there is a mid to upper level inverted trough that extends from the Yucatan northward to the Northern GOM. At the surface the low over LA was attached to a weak warm front extending East and East-Southeast along the Northern GOM. Hot ridge over the NE USA and a large cutoff Upper Level Low to the ridge's east. That ridge is expected to break down and retrograde west as the large Upper Level Low moves west towards the coast. This pattern suggests no approach to the N GOM coast. Wind shear analysis is hostile to the Yucatan disturbance's north and east. This system will be slow to develop given the overall pattern in the Tropics. There is considerable wind shear all along the Tropics from west to east.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

Edited by berrywr (Wed Jul 07 2010 02:44 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Depression Two Forms in Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator Wed Jul 07 2010 02:42 AM
. * * Re: 96L Heads Up 80% Chance of Development MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 07 2010 10:58 PM
. * * Re: 96L Heads Up 80% Chance of Development allan   Wed Jul 07 2010 10:54 PM
. * * Re: 96L Heads Up 80% Chance of Development LoisCane   Wed Jul 07 2010 09:19 PM
. * * 96L Heads Up 80% Chance of Development danielwAdministrator   Wed Jul 07 2010 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Gulf Likely to Remain Weak WesnWylie   Wed Jul 07 2010 02:04 PM
. * * Re: 96L berrywr   Wed Jul 07 2010 02:42 AM
. * * Re: 96L WesnWylie   Wed Jul 07 2010 12:21 AM
. * * Re: 96L WeatherNut   Tue Jul 06 2010 10:04 PM
. * * Re: 96L Ed in Va   Tue Jul 06 2010 07:28 PM
. * * Re: 96L WesnWylie   Tue Jul 06 2010 07:19 PM
. * * 96L danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 06 2010 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana ppdmike   Tue Jul 06 2010 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana hogrunr   Tue Jul 06 2010 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana WeatherNut   Tue Jul 06 2010 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 06 2010 04:49 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana hogrunr   Tue Jul 06 2010 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana WesnWylie   Tue Jul 06 2010 09:35 AM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 06 2010 09:24 AM
. * * 95L inland. Moving along Interstate 10 West danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 06 2010 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana WesnWylie   Tue Jul 06 2010 12:49 AM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana cieldumort   Tue Jul 06 2010 12:17 AM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana docrod   Mon Jul 05 2010 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana Storm Hunter   Mon Jul 05 2010 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana WesnWylie   Mon Jul 05 2010 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana cieldumort   Mon Jul 05 2010 07:54 PM
. * * Invest 95L May Soon Reach TD Status Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Jul 05 2010 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Stirring in the Tropics, but no Development berrywr   Mon Jul 05 2010 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Stirring in the Tropics, but no Development k___g   Mon Jul 05 2010 03:42 PM
. * * Re: Stirring in the Tropics, but no Development Lamar-Plant City   Mon Jul 05 2010 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Stirring in the Tropics, but no Development JMII   Mon Jul 05 2010 12:33 PM
. * * Re: Stirring in the Tropics, but no Development WesnWylie   Mon Jul 05 2010 10:00 AM

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