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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
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WesnWylie
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Posts: 155
Re: Several Waves in the Caribbean
      Sun Jul 18 2010 09:15 PM

I have been particularly watching the area of convection in the Central Caribbean.
Although the shear is somewhat strong in this region, it continues to produce plenty
of storms. I personally give this area a slightly greater chance of developing
than its neighbor to the east of it, which is only at 10%. Why I give it a better chance
than the area that the NHC has highlighted, is due to the Central Caribbean wave
being totally removed from the SAL. Also, from what I can tell, the shear is forecast
to weaken some in a day or two for this wave.

I think the area near the Lesser Antilles will have decent shot at development in about
2 or 3 days, though.

--------------------
2011 Season Forecast: 16/09/04
2011 Systems: 10/01/01

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Several Waves in the Caribbean WesnWylie Sun Jul 18 2010 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves in the Caribbean WesnWylie   Sun Jul 18 2010 09:15 PM

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