Most if not all the moisture is NW , by quite a distance, from the center. The storm is drawing dry air into itself from the SW and that air is wrapping around, and has virtuallly killed any decent convection on the north and east sides. The "core" of the system,if that is what it is, does have convection immediately north, west and south. Everglades City had a pretty good shower recently which was contained in the SW band accompanying the center. The center itself should be exiting near the Lee/Collier (Bonita Beach) area soon. Looking out to the west however, there is little for the system to draw on to maintain itself. It will have to re-generate convection based on the GOM, or it will not survive.
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Re: Thoughts on Tropical Storm Bonnie
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