MikeC
Admin
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Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Watching Two Areas
Fri Jul 23 2010 08:40 PM
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Update - 11PM EDT, July 31PM,2010
The area in the east Atlantic has been dropped (as 90L), it still has a good chance at forming sometime this coming week, but it may be re designated later because the old 90L area actually was several. If the new area is re designated it may suggest a further westward track and those in the Northeastern Caribbean will want to watch the system.
Still too early to tell beyond that, but it's worth watching over the week, especially if it develops.
{{StormLinks|91L|91|4|2010|1|91L}}
Update - 7PM EDT, July 29,2010
A wave in the Eastern Atlantic near 30 West and at a very low latitude has a 20% chance for development over the next 48 hours. This will likely move generally westward and has a better chance for development next week. This has been designated 90L by the Tropical Prediction Center. It likely won't have a real chance to develop until it gets a little further north of where it goes, so it may not develop at all. Forecast models are nearly useless this far out. That said, currently, the most likely scenario is that the system stays out to sea (But odds are only slightly in this favor)
Another area east of the Bahamas has a 10% chance for development, and isn't as likely to develop overall, but will need to be watched if it survives and persists in the eastern Caribbean.
Update - 6PM EDT, July 26,2010
Over the Atlantic Basin, it is currently Quiet, with nothing imminent for development. The only area currently that could be something later is the area in the Central Atlantic, but chances are extremely low anything will be seen from it.
This will likely end July quietly, with things likely ramping up by mid August.
Update - 7AM EDT, July 25,2010
The remnant low of what was left of Bonnie drifted ashore near the mouth of the Mississippi River last night, bringing some showers to eastern Louisiana and southern Mississippi.
Convective activity still persists south of Tampico, Mexico, and east of Nicaragua - but near-term development is not expected.
SAL and windshear still evident in the central and eastern Atlantic so the Basin is rather quiet.
ED
Original Post
Bonnie crossed Florida from South of Miami and exited the west coast near Ft. Myers, and is now back over water in the Gulf of Mexico. It is a very sheared system, but the center is being aggressive at reforming and may become a Tropical Storm again before another landfall in Mississippi or Louisiana, perhaps as a sheared, but mid-strength Tropical Storm.
Thos along the northern Gulf coast in the Tropical Storm Warning area should watch Bonnie. Most likely it will bring a little rain and some wind to the area in the North Gulf, and perhaps a very slight storm surge, but nothing major.
Dual Radar recording of Bonnie Approach to South Florida and Northern Gulf coast (Flhurricane recording)
{{NortheastGulfRadar}}
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