F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 277 (Idalia) , Major: 277 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 277 (Idalia) Major: 277 (Idalia)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Archives 2010s >> 2010 News Talkbacks
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Quiet For Now
      Wed Jul 28 2010 03:40 AM

Since only one in every ten tropical waves will develop into a tropical cyclone (on average), here we tend to wait until a wave shows some signs of falling into that 10% category before getting into a discussion about it. The only model that I could find that develops a wave in the next week was the CMC - and the Canadian Model is not the best model to use for this type of activity since its not really a tropical model (for that matter, neither is the GFS). Perhaps because the model was designed for better accuracy in temperate climates, it will often generate a spurious storm that never materializes. As I've mentioned before (probably far too many times), the model outputs are not the forecast, they are just occasionally useful guidance for developing a forecast.
Cheers,
ED

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Watching Two Areas MikeCAdministrator Wed Jul 28 2010 03:40 AM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas WesnWylie   Sun Aug 01 2010 05:10 AM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas JoshuaK   Sun Aug 01 2010 04:22 AM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 01 2010 03:33 AM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas JoshuaK   Sun Aug 01 2010 02:43 AM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 31 2010 11:57 PM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas Jasonch   Sat Jul 31 2010 11:57 PM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas WeatherNut   Sat Jul 31 2010 08:25 PM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas typhoon_tip   Fri Jul 30 2010 01:46 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now WeatherNut   Thu Jul 29 2010 08:57 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now WesnWylie   Thu Jul 29 2010 07:52 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now MichaelA   Thu Jul 29 2010 02:53 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 29 2010 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now ncskywarn   Thu Jul 29 2010 08:44 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now Jane   Wed Jul 28 2010 11:04 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jul 28 2010 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now WeatherNut   Wed Jul 28 2010 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now allan   Wed Jul 28 2010 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now MichaelA   Wed Jul 28 2010 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now WesnWylie   Wed Jul 28 2010 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jul 28 2010 03:40 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 28 2010 02:32 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now ChrisS   Wed Jul 28 2010 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 27 2010 12:51 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now Ed in Va   Tue Jul 27 2010 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Jul 27 2010 03:08 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now (6 PM Update, July 26) MichaelA   Tue Jul 27 2010 01:27 AM
. * * Invest 99L Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 25 2010 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Maybe I'm all wet WesnWylie   Sun Jul 25 2010 05:41 PM
. * * Re: Maybe I'm all wet mwillis   Sun Jul 25 2010 05:33 PM
. * * Re: Maybe I'm all wet danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 25 2010 11:40 AM
. * * Re: Maybe I'm all wet JoshuaK   Sun Jul 25 2010 03:14 AM
. * * Re: Maybe I'm all wet flanewscameraman   Sun Jul 25 2010 02:13 AM
. * * Re: Maybe I'm all wet stormtiger   Sun Jul 25 2010 12:21 AM
. * * Re: Very Sheared Bonnie Back over Water in the Gulf JoshuaK   Sat Jul 24 2010 09:29 PM
. * * Re: Very Sheared Bonnie Back over Water in the Gulf Storm Hunter   Sat Jul 24 2010 02:09 AM
. * * Re: Very Sheared Bonnie Back over Water in the Gulf Storm Hunter   Sat Jul 24 2010 01:54 AM
. * * Re: Very Sheared Bonnie Back over Water in the Gulf Storm Hunter   Sat Jul 24 2010 12:44 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 12 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 21016

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center