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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 285 (Idalia) , Major: 285 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 285 (Idalia) Major: 285 (Idalia)
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allan
Weather Master


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Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
Re: Quiet For Now
      Wed Jul 28 2010 04:24 PM

The CMC, GEM, NOGAPS, and the reliable EURO model now develop the wave off of Africa. It's reasonable and I expect more models to jump on because conditions are becoming favorable where the SAL is now lifting north, in fact, SAL should not be an issue with this wave. Things are moistening up and shear is on the decline. The NHC may mention it tonight if the EURO makes another aggressive run on the system. It takes it to the Caribbean which sounds reasonable to me do to the westward motion of the storms so far this year. Though I notice the EURO doesn't have a big high in the southeast at the time it has what appears to be Hurricane Colin nearing PR. This is all by observation. The NOGAPS keeps the storm weak as the CMC, like the EURO aggressively develops it, though it takes it out to sea. It's definitely something to watch now that the EURO has jumped on board. We might be seeing our first Cape Verde development this weekend.

--------------------
Allan Reed - 18,9,5

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Watching Two Areas MikeCAdministrator Wed Jul 28 2010 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas WesnWylie   Sun Aug 01 2010 05:10 AM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas JoshuaK   Sun Aug 01 2010 04:22 AM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 01 2010 03:33 AM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas JoshuaK   Sun Aug 01 2010 02:43 AM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 31 2010 11:57 PM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas Jasonch   Sat Jul 31 2010 11:57 PM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas WeatherNut   Sat Jul 31 2010 08:25 PM
. * * Re: Watching Two Areas typhoon_tip   Fri Jul 30 2010 01:46 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now WeatherNut   Thu Jul 29 2010 08:57 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now WesnWylie   Thu Jul 29 2010 07:52 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now MichaelA   Thu Jul 29 2010 02:53 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 29 2010 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now ncskywarn   Thu Jul 29 2010 08:44 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now Jane   Wed Jul 28 2010 11:04 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jul 28 2010 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now WeatherNut   Wed Jul 28 2010 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now allan   Wed Jul 28 2010 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now MichaelA   Wed Jul 28 2010 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now WesnWylie   Wed Jul 28 2010 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jul 28 2010 03:40 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 28 2010 02:32 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now ChrisS   Wed Jul 28 2010 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 27 2010 12:51 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now Ed in Va   Tue Jul 27 2010 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Jul 27 2010 03:08 AM
. * * Re: Quiet For Now (6 PM Update, July 26) MichaelA   Tue Jul 27 2010 01:27 AM
. * * Invest 99L Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 25 2010 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Maybe I'm all wet WesnWylie   Sun Jul 25 2010 05:41 PM
. * * Re: Maybe I'm all wet mwillis   Sun Jul 25 2010 05:33 PM
. * * Re: Maybe I'm all wet danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 25 2010 11:40 AM
. * * Re: Maybe I'm all wet JoshuaK   Sun Jul 25 2010 03:14 AM
. * * Re: Maybe I'm all wet flanewscameraman   Sun Jul 25 2010 02:13 AM
. * * Re: Maybe I'm all wet stormtiger   Sun Jul 25 2010 12:21 AM
. * * Re: Very Sheared Bonnie Back over Water in the Gulf JoshuaK   Sat Jul 24 2010 09:29 PM
. * * Re: Very Sheared Bonnie Back over Water in the Gulf Storm Hunter   Sat Jul 24 2010 02:09 AM
. * * Re: Very Sheared Bonnie Back over Water in the Gulf Storm Hunter   Sat Jul 24 2010 01:54 AM
. * * Re: Very Sheared Bonnie Back over Water in the Gulf Storm Hunter   Sat Jul 24 2010 12:44 AM

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