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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 607 (Milton), US Major: 607 (Milton), FL Any: 607 (Milton), FL Major: 607 (Milton)

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Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

MikeC
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Posts: 4829
Loc: Orlando, FL

90L Lounge
Thu Jul 29 2010 07:19 PM

This lounge is for the system known as 90L, currently located in the Eastern Atlantic near 30W. Long range models range from moving it due west for the most part.

The lounge is for making your best guess at what a system may do either using the models or any other method.

The GFS model (in total fantasy mode around 300 hours out) is suggesting a southeast impact near Florida or the Carolinas, NoGaps keeps it further south, possibly through the Caribbean. HRWF turns it more northward sooner implying out to sea as a fish spinner (This is probably the most likely outcome).

None of the models can be taken seriously until... initialization (Initial model position) appears to be consistently correct, a trend verifies, and there is a real low level circulation.

I don't expect development becomes a real probability until sometime early next week.

Post Extras

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
90L Lounge	MikeC	Thu Jul 29 2010 07:19 PM
Re: 90L Lounge	ChrisS	Fri Jul 30 2010 08:32 AM
Re: 90L Lounge	MichaelA	Fri Jul 30 2010 11:01 AM
Re: 90L Lounge	allan	Fri Jul 30 2010 12:13 PM
Re: 90L Lounge	ChrisS	Fri Jul 30 2010 03:32 PM

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