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Archives 2010s >> 2010 News Talkbacks

typhoon_tip
Meteorologist

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Posts: 576

Re: Watching Two Areas
Thu Jul 29 2010 09:46 PM

The 18z run of the tropical models are developing 90L more significantly now.

NCEP noted earlier in the day that there are 10 analogs for next week's expected synoptic scale pattern across the Atlantic Basin, and of those 10, 6 had a developed or developing tropical cyclone, 4 of which were in the western quadrant of the subtropical/tropical Atlantic Basin. This is in the general region where the models are moving 90L.

Currently convection is not as robust as the last 24 hours, however, there is interestingly a slightly more discerned cyclonic banding in appearance.

There is still just a 20% chanced assigned to this entity - for what ever method those chances are derived. What I personally like about this feature is that it emerged off the west coast of Africa (N of Sierra Leone) in an at least temporary abatement of the Saharan Air Layer contamination in the region, which had been fairly pervasive prior.

In terms of the outlook the only issue standing in the way of 90L may actually be easterly shear. A strengthening Azores high arming strongly across the breadth of the Basin argue for deepening easterly trades. Otherwise, the oceanic heat content is high, and if the trades are manageable, storm relative shear would be low.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Watching Two Areas	MikeC	Thu Jul 29 2010 09:46 PM
Re: Watching Two Areas	WesnWylie	Sun Aug 01 2010 01:10 AM
Re: Watching Two Areas	JoshuaK	Sun Aug 01 2010 12:22 AM
Re: Watching Two Areas	MikeC	Sat Jul 31 2010 11:33 PM
Re: Watching Two Areas	JoshuaK	Sat Jul 31 2010 10:43 PM
Re: Watching Two Areas	danielw	Sat Jul 31 2010 07:57 PM
Re: Watching Two Areas	Jasonch	Sat Jul 31 2010 07:57 PM
Re: Watching Two Areas	WeatherNut	Sat Jul 31 2010 04:25 PM
Re: Watching Two Areas	typhoon_tip	Thu Jul 29 2010 09:46 PM
Re: Quiet For Now	WeatherNut	Thu Jul 29 2010 04:57 PM
Re: Quiet For Now	WesnWylie	Thu Jul 29 2010 03:52 PM
Re: Quiet For Now	MichaelA	Thu Jul 29 2010 10:53 AM
Re: Quiet For Now	MikeC	Thu Jul 29 2010 06:54 AM
Re: Quiet For Now	ncskywarn	Thu Jul 29 2010 04:44 AM
Re: Quiet For Now	Jane	Wed Jul 28 2010 07:04 PM
Re: Quiet For Now	Ed Dunham	Wed Jul 28 2010 05:30 PM
Re: Quiet For Now	WeatherNut	Wed Jul 28 2010 03:59 PM
Re: Quiet For Now	allan	Wed Jul 28 2010 12:24 PM
Re: Quiet For Now	MichaelA	Wed Jul 28 2010 11:59 AM
Re: Quiet For Now	WesnWylie	Wed Jul 28 2010 10:31 AM
Re: Quiet For Now	Ed Dunham	Tue Jul 27 2010 11:40 PM
Re: Quiet For Now	MikeC	Tue Jul 27 2010 10:32 PM
Re: Quiet For Now	ChrisS	Tue Jul 27 2010 08:08 PM
Re: Quiet For Now	MikeC	Tue Jul 27 2010 08:51 AM
Re: Quiet For Now	Ed in Va	Tue Jul 27 2010 08:31 AM
Re: Quiet For Now	Ed Dunham	Mon Jul 26 2010 11:08 PM
Re: Quiet For Now (6 PM Update, July 26)	MichaelA	Mon Jul 26 2010 09:27 PM
Invest 99L	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 25 2010 02:27 PM
Re: Maybe I'm all wet	WesnWylie	Sun Jul 25 2010 01:41 PM
Re: Maybe I'm all wet	mwillis	Sun Jul 25 2010 01:33 PM
Re: Maybe I'm all wet	danielw	Sun Jul 25 2010 07:40 AM
Re: Maybe I'm all wet	JoshuaK	Sat Jul 24 2010 11:14 PM
Re: Maybe I'm all wet	flanewscameraman	Sat Jul 24 2010 10:13 PM
Re: Maybe I'm all wet	stormtiger	Sat Jul 24 2010 08:21 PM
Re: Very Sheared Bonnie Back over Water in the Gulf	JoshuaK	Sat Jul 24 2010 05:29 PM
Re: Very Sheared Bonnie Back over Water in the Gulf	Storm Hunter	Fri Jul 23 2010 10:09 PM
Re: Very Sheared Bonnie Back over Water in the Gulf	Storm Hunter	Fri Jul 23 2010 09:54 PM
Re: Very Sheared Bonnie Back over Water in the Gulf	Storm Hunter	Fri Jul 23 2010 08:44 PM

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