Current NHC Cone of certainty would lead us to believe that TD 4 will be a fish spinner. The model runs that I've seen this morning are 50/ 50 on a track that brushes the Outer Banks and then races off toward the NE.
Another separate model sends TD 4 into the GOM and 92L moves into a fish spinner track. Hmmm. Are the models as confused as I am?
Model suite, as of two hours ago, only had one model taking a hard left turn into the NE Caribbean. Seems like it was a GFS Ensemble member.
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