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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 284 (Idalia) , Major: 284 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 284 (Idalia) Major: 284 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

doug
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: 91L Forecast Lounge
      Mon Aug 02 2010 08:59 PM

There does not seem to be anything that will pull this radically northward for a couple of days. At that time the extent of the trough along the east coast should be clear. It does seem that the strong upper high in the SE has move westward over the past 24 hours, which has deepened the trough a bit. The feature I will watch is the ULL which is somewhat removed from TD4 to the NW and its impact on the situation. It is not a vigorous ULL like we had involving Bonnie, but its presence in a day or so along the east coast of Florida will no doubt impact the trough and perhaps strengthen its effect. That is likely why the models take the system NW-NNW in a few days. Also the strength of the system will determine the degree of poleward drift; the weaker the less that will occur. I think in two days we will be able to get a firm grasp on this.
The system following looks as if it is still partially imbedded in the ITCZ.

--------------------
doug

Edited by doug (Mon Aug 02 2010 09:15 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Colin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 02 2010 08:59 PM
. * * Re: Colin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2010 10:36 AM
. * * Re: Colin Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Tue Aug 03 2010 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Colin Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Tue Aug 03 2010 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Colin Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2010 05:16 PM
. * * Re: Colin Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Tue Aug 03 2010 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Colin Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Tue Aug 03 2010 05:44 PM
. * * Re: Colin Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Tue Aug 03 2010 06:22 PM
. * * Re: Colin Forecast Lounge WesnWylie   Tue Aug 03 2010 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Colin Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Tue Aug 03 2010 09:55 PM
. * * Re: Colin Forecast Lounge WesnWylie   Wed Aug 04 2010 01:07 AM
. * * Re: Colin Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2010 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Colin Forecast Lounge Ed in Va   Tue Aug 03 2010 01:53 PM
. * * Re: 91L Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Sun Aug 01 2010 06:45 PM
. * * Re: 91L Forecast Lounge B.C.Francis   Sun Aug 01 2010 07:15 PM
. * * Re: 91L Forecast Lounge WesnWylie   Sun Aug 01 2010 08:38 PM
. * * Re: 91L Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Aug 01 2010 09:14 PM
. * * Re: 91L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 01 2010 10:05 PM
. * * Re: 91L Forecast Lounge WesnWylie   Mon Aug 02 2010 07:02 PM
. * * Re: 91L Forecast Lounge doug   Mon Aug 02 2010 08:59 PM

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