I am also noticing that SAL is getting precariously close by N of the circulation. If that should get ingested into the inflow it could act as an inhibitor.
I wouldn't claim to know all the physical variables these models are handling but it is interesting that the tropical models have rather recently backed off on the depthiness of this system as it trundles along. Perhaps there is some environmental concern there.
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Re: Tropical Depression #4 Forms in Central Atlantic
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