Current Radar or Satellite Image - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

#90L pushing further inland. Rain, t-storms, gusty winds and isolated tornadoes possible in the southeast.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 255 (Nicholas) , Major: 271 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1325 (Michael) Major: 1325 (Michael)

Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)

Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: System Approaching Nicaragua
      Mon Aug 02 2010 08:40 PM

I did a little more research and I guess that its possible, but the wave in the far southeastern Caribbean Sea that is close to the coast of South America would really have to move along at a rapid pace. At 500MB the GFS does develop a feature along the coast of Columbia near the Venezuelan border at the 36-hour point - and it is this developing upper low that the model tracks toward Louisiana. This is roughly the same location where the model picks up a surface feature as well. If the high pressure system firmly in place in the south central U.S. pulls to the east then I guess that could allow a system to move north through the Yucatan Channel and into the Gulf on the western edge of the high pressure system.

Possible, yes - but thats a lot of 'if's' for something that would be a week away. Worth keeping an eye on though - especially in a couple of days. Note that the earlier 12Z run of the CMC took the same system into Belize (based on the high pressure ridge remaining in place to the north).

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Aug 02 2010 08:50 PM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Depression #4 Forms in Central Atlantic lonelymike Mon Aug 02 2010 08:40 PM
. * * System Approaching Nicaragua Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 02 2010 07:50 PM
. * * Re: System Approaching Nicaragua lonelymike   Mon Aug 02 2010 07:53 PM
. * * Re: System Approaching Nicaragua Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 02 2010 08:40 PM
. * * Re: System Approaching Nicaragua Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2010 12:44 AM
. * * Models? EaglezFan42   Mon Aug 02 2010 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Models? lonelymike   Tue Aug 03 2010 07:25 PM
. * * Re: Models? lonelymike   Tue Aug 03 2010 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Models? MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2010 09:27 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 2 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Thread views: 8367

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center