As of 2 pm...70 percent chance of becoming a depression or storm....this is a tough call they'll be making....to either re-establish advisories or put it on hold. Satellite imagery continues to show a surface low and circulation with convection displaced to the east.; low level cumulus clearly are rotating around the surface low.
THE REMNANT OF COLIN IS A 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 23N65W...OR ABOUT 415 NM TO THE SOUTH OF BERMUDA. THE REMNANT OF COLIN IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT 17 KT. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE NORTHEASTERN SEMICIRCLE. SEA HEIGHTS RANGE FROM 10 FT TO 15 FT. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 22N TO 23N BETWEEN 62W AND 64W. OTHER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE JUST TO THE NORTH FROM 24N TO 25N BETWEEN 63W AND 64W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS COVER THE WATERS FROM 17N IN THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TO 33N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 54W AND 70W. SOME OF THE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES IN THIS AREA OF CLOUDS HAVE BEEN WARMING DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME PRECIPITATION MAY BE IN SOME AREAS OF THIS CLOUDINESS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION OF THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS ENROUTE IN ORDER TO DETERMINE WHETHER THE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM. THE CHANCE THAT THIS SYSTEM MAY BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS HIGH. RESIDENTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
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