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Archives 2010s >> 2010 News Talkbacks

berrywr
Weather Analyst

Reged:
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL

Re: 92L Still Persisting
Fri Aug 06 2010 08:23 PM

Okay, let's address a couple of features going on with 92L this evening. 92L looks pretty good on satellite imagery and looked even better not too long ago; a comment I posted about the NHC not even make a mere mention of it until 5 pm today.

92L is approaching land and there is very little opportunity for 92L to be upgraded and not likely until it re-emerges in the Bay of Campeche in a couple of days; maybe 3.

A couple of features; there is an upper low in the Bay of Campeche, an upper ridge over 92L and an area of 20 knot shear aloft ahead of the system but otherwise light shear dominates the area over and ahead into the Western GOM.

A couple of things worth mentioning....upper ridges over tropical systems are what you want for tropical systems to develop into storms; because there is an upper ridge over a shallow system the interaction between the two is not of that between an upper ridge and a hurricane.

The Upper Level Low to the NW of 92L will have no Fujiwara; 92L is simply too shallow to be steered by the Upper Level Low in this fashion. There is minimum gradience between this ULL and the ridge over 92L to have any degree of impact until 92L becomes much more organized. A Fujiwara is akin to two identical magnetic charges facing one another and repelling each other; that simply is not the case here/

This system will have to be monitored onces it emerges back in the BOC as some models have a break in the two ridges over the US and Atlantic Ocean and it will be interesting to see if it will interact with the evolving long wave trough pattern setting up over the Eastern US. There is a sagging front in the SE USA that will have to be monitored if it enters the GOM and goes stationary.

I commend the thinking and comments on this system...good work all!

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

Edited by berrywr (Fri Aug 06 2010 08:24 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
TD Colin Almost History - Invest 94L Forms Off Florida East Coast	MikeC	Fri Aug 06 2010 08:23 PM
Re: TD Colin Almost History - Invest 94L Forms Off Florida East Coast	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 09 2010 05:00 PM
Re: TD Colin Almost History - Invest 94L Forms Off Florida East Coast	doug	Mon Aug 09 2010 04:23 PM
Re: TD Colin Almost History - Invest 94L Forms Off Florida East Coast	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 09 2010 04:09 PM
Re: TD Colin Almost History - Invest 94L Forms Off Florida East Coast	Fairhopian	Mon Aug 09 2010 03:26 PM
Admin Note	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 09 2010 03:15 PM
Re: New System in the Caribbean??	Jasonch	Mon Aug 09 2010 02:57 PM
Re: New System in the Caribbean??	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 09 2010 02:55 PM
Re: New System in the Caribbean??	Jasonch	Mon Aug 09 2010 02:45 PM
Re: New System in the Caribbean??	Evan Johnson	Mon Aug 09 2010 02:31 PM
New System in the Caribbean??	danielw	Mon Aug 09 2010 02:24 PM
Re: TD Colin Almost History - Invest 94L Forms Off Florida East Coast	Jasonch	Mon Aug 09 2010 01:53 PM
Recon Plans	danielw	Mon Aug 09 2010 10:18 AM
Re: 94L - 09/00Z Package	doug	Mon Aug 09 2010 09:56 AM
94L - 09/00Z Package	berrywr	Mon Aug 09 2010 02:17 AM
Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast	WesnWylie	Sun Aug 08 2010 07:21 PM
Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast	Ed Dunham	Sun Aug 08 2010 06:48 PM
Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast	rgd	Sun Aug 08 2010 06:05 PM
Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast	EMS	Sun Aug 08 2010 05:12 PM
Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast	danielw	Sun Aug 08 2010 01:02 PM
Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast	Ed Dunham	Sun Aug 08 2010 12:54 PM
Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast	mwillis	Sun Aug 08 2010 12:44 PM
94L off the Florida East Coast	danielw	Sun Aug 08 2010 11:21 AM
Re: 92L Still Persisting	stormchazer	Sun Aug 08 2010 11:05 AM
Re: 92L Still Persisting	danielw	Sun Aug 08 2010 11:03 AM
Re: 92L Still Persisting	berrywr	Sat Aug 07 2010 07:00 PM
Re: 92L Still Persisting	mwillis	Sat Aug 07 2010 01:34 PM
Re: 92L Still Persisting	danielw	Sat Aug 07 2010 06:53 AM
Re: 92L Still Persisting	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 06 2010 09:02 PM
Re: 92L Still Persisting	berrywr	Fri Aug 06 2010 08:23 PM
Re: 92L Still Persisting	WesnWylie	Fri Aug 06 2010 06:28 PM
Re: 92L Still Persisting	stormtiger	Fri Aug 06 2010 05:25 PM
Re: 92L Still Persisting	danielw	Fri Aug 06 2010 04:35 PM
92L Still Persisting	Fairhopian	Fri Aug 06 2010 04:13 PM
Re: Colin Barely Still Around	WesnWylie	Fri Aug 06 2010 10:19 AM
Re: Colin Barely Still Around	MichaelA	Fri Aug 06 2010 08:21 AM

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