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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: 94L - 09/00Z Package
      Mon Aug 09 2010 01:56 PM

Good morning, the RGB seems to indicate that a low level circulation is trying to close off in the northern Bahamas.. Presently there is cyclonic spin along a NNW-SSE elongated axis that is just off the Florida east coast. The convection is consolidated in the Bahamas through the keys and out into the GOM along the frontal trough. At the northern apex of the convection in the Bahamas, I think one can make out a closing off of the circulation. I think it will take several hours to confirm that, but otherwise the circulatiion is very elongated, and trough like. I do not see any evidence of a circulation in the central GOM, and all organizational activity, if that is what is going on, is in relation to the convection in the Bahamas. I see no reason to suspect that development would be anything other than tropical in nature, based on the climatological environment surrounding the mass of weather.

--------------------
doug

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TD Colin Almost History - Invest 94L Forms Off Florida East Coast MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 09 2010 01:56 PM
. * * Re: TD Colin Almost History - Invest 94L Forms Off Florida East Coast Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 09 2010 09:00 PM
. * * Re: TD Colin Almost History - Invest 94L Forms Off Florida East Coast doug   Mon Aug 09 2010 08:23 PM
. * * Re: TD Colin Almost History - Invest 94L Forms Off Florida East Coast Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 09 2010 08:09 PM
. * * Re: TD Colin Almost History - Invest 94L Forms Off Florida East Coast Fairhopian   Mon Aug 09 2010 07:26 PM
. * * Admin Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 09 2010 07:15 PM
. * * Re: New System in the Caribbean?? Jasonch   Mon Aug 09 2010 06:57 PM
. * * Re: New System in the Caribbean?? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 09 2010 06:55 PM
. * * Re: New System in the Caribbean?? Jasonch   Mon Aug 09 2010 06:45 PM
. * * Re: New System in the Caribbean?? Evan Johnson   Mon Aug 09 2010 06:31 PM
. * * New System in the Caribbean?? danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 09 2010 06:24 PM
. * * Re: TD Colin Almost History - Invest 94L Forms Off Florida East Coast Jasonch   Mon Aug 09 2010 05:53 PM
. * * Recon Plans danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 09 2010 02:18 PM
. * * Re: 94L - 09/00Z Package doug   Mon Aug 09 2010 01:56 PM
. * * 94L - 09/00Z Package berrywr   Mon Aug 09 2010 06:17 AM
. * * Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast WesnWylie   Sun Aug 08 2010 11:21 PM
. * * Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 08 2010 10:48 PM
. * * Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast rgd   Sun Aug 08 2010 10:05 PM
. * * Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast EMS   Sun Aug 08 2010 09:12 PM
. * * Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 08 2010 05:02 PM
. * * Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 08 2010 04:54 PM
. * * Re: 94L off the Florida East Coast mwillis   Sun Aug 08 2010 04:44 PM
. * * 94L off the Florida East Coast danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 08 2010 03:21 PM
. * * Re: 92L Still Persisting stormchazer   Sun Aug 08 2010 03:05 PM
. * * Re: 92L Still Persisting danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 08 2010 03:03 PM
. * * Re: 92L Still Persisting berrywr   Sat Aug 07 2010 11:00 PM
. * * Re: 92L Still Persisting mwillis   Sat Aug 07 2010 05:34 PM
. * * Re: 92L Still Persisting danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 07 2010 10:53 AM
. * * Re: 92L Still Persisting Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 07 2010 01:02 AM
. * * Re: 92L Still Persisting berrywr   Sat Aug 07 2010 12:23 AM
. * * Re: 92L Still Persisting WesnWylie   Fri Aug 06 2010 10:28 PM
. * * Re: 92L Still Persisting stormtiger   Fri Aug 06 2010 09:25 PM
. * * Re: 92L Still Persisting danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 06 2010 08:35 PM
. * * 92L Still Persisting Fairhopian   Fri Aug 06 2010 08:13 PM
. * * Re: Colin Barely Still Around WesnWylie   Fri Aug 06 2010 02:19 PM
. * * Re: Colin Barely Still Around MichaelA   Fri Aug 06 2010 12:21 PM

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