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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 277 (Idalia) , Major: 277 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 277 (Idalia) Major: 277 (Idalia)
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berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize
      Tue Aug 10 2010 07:06 PM

The outflow you're observing to the northeast is the ULL currently at the Central FL east coast. I grant you it appears obscured at best but it is the ULL and all models have it travelling over the top of 94L. You may have text bulletins saying conditions are not ideal despite low shear and warm water. This system was originally part of an old frontal boundary and observing water vapor imagery there are shortwaves rotation cyclonically around the upper low and as you noted there is considerable subsidence and dry air that continues to be pushed south and southwest and if models verify 94L is likely to impaired by entraining this air into it. Tropical, Subtropical I don't concern myself with except they do technically differ in regards to how they are supported and the wind field between the two differs. The winds aloft are from NNE to SSW and at first glance it appears the two are linked; for the moment they are not; however text bulletins I've read today are indicating difluence aloft...What that is...are winds that diverge..that is like a river delta they spread out. Aloft you want difluence to enhance convective activity; at the surface you want the opposite; confluence...winds and moisture coming together into one focal point...the CoC. You have a nice day! Take care!

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Depression 5 Falls Apart Ed DunhamAdministrator Tue Aug 10 2010 07:06 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet WeatherNut   Fri Aug 13 2010 01:47 AM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet Fairhopian   Thu Aug 12 2010 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 12 2010 01:16 AM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet WeatherNut   Wed Aug 11 2010 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet JoshuaK   Wed Aug 11 2010 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 11 2010 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet MichaelA   Wed Aug 11 2010 08:56 PM
. * * Say Goodnight TD5! berrywr   Wed Aug 11 2010 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 11 2010 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet MichaelA   Wed Aug 11 2010 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 11 2010 08:43 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet MichaelA   Wed Aug 11 2010 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet WesnWylie   Wed Aug 11 2010 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 11 2010 08:10 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet MichaelA   Wed Aug 11 2010 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet MichaelA   Wed Aug 11 2010 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 11 2010 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 11 2010 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet berrywr   Wed Aug 11 2010 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet Ed in Va   Wed Aug 11 2010 05:09 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet WeatherNut   Wed Aug 11 2010 04:19 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 11 2010 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet scottsvb   Wed Aug 11 2010 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 11 2010 03:42 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet WesnWylie   Wed Aug 11 2010 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet berrywr   Wed Aug 11 2010 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 11 2010 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet MichaelA   Wed Aug 11 2010 02:59 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 11 2010 02:44 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Happening Yet MichaelA   Wed Aug 11 2010 02:40 PM
. * * Nothing Happening Yet Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 11 2010 02:20 PM
. * * Re: 94L Recon Hugh   Wed Aug 11 2010 01:53 PM
. * * Re: 94L Recon MichaelA   Wed Aug 11 2010 01:24 PM
. * * Re: 94L Recon doug   Wed Aug 11 2010 01:22 PM
. * * Re: 94L Recon danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 11 2010 01:12 PM
. * * Re: 94L Recon MichaelA   Wed Aug 11 2010 01:10 PM
. * * Re: 94L Recon Hugh   Wed Aug 11 2010 12:49 PM
. * * Re: 94L Recon MichaelA   Wed Aug 11 2010 12:32 PM
. * * Re: 94L Recon Hugh   Wed Aug 11 2010 11:53 AM
. * * 94L Recon danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 11 2010 09:27 AM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 11 2010 04:06 AM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 11 2010 03:46 AM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Lamar-Plant City   Wed Aug 11 2010 02:46 AM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 11 2010 02:36 AM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Hugh   Wed Aug 11 2010 02:02 AM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 11 2010 01:54 AM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Hugh   Wed Aug 11 2010 01:12 AM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 11 2010 01:00 AM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize lonelymike   Wed Aug 11 2010 12:32 AM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 10 2010 11:37 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Hugh   Tue Aug 10 2010 11:01 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize MichaelA   Tue Aug 10 2010 11:00 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 10 2010 10:57 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 10 2010 10:49 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize MichaelA   Tue Aug 10 2010 10:41 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 10 2010 10:13 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize berrywr   Tue Aug 10 2010 09:44 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize WeatherNut   Tue Aug 10 2010 09:02 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize WesnWylie   Tue Aug 10 2010 09:00 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 10 2010 08:56 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 10 2010 08:43 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize WeatherNut   Tue Aug 10 2010 08:37 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize MichaelA   Tue Aug 10 2010 08:36 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize MichaelA   Tue Aug 10 2010 08:32 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 10 2010 08:27 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 10 2010 08:20 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Lamar-Plant City   Tue Aug 10 2010 08:05 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 10 2010 07:48 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize MichaelA   Tue Aug 10 2010 07:47 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 10 2010 07:45 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize MichaelA   Tue Aug 10 2010 07:09 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize berrywr   Tue Aug 10 2010 07:06 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize MichaelA   Tue Aug 10 2010 06:45 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 10 2010 06:42 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize berrywr   Tue Aug 10 2010 06:26 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 10 2010 06:07 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 10 2010 05:57 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize WesnWylie   Tue Aug 10 2010 05:54 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize WeatherNut   Tue Aug 10 2010 05:28 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize WeatherNut   Tue Aug 10 2010 05:21 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize RobM   Tue Aug 10 2010 05:16 PM
. * * 94L danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 10 2010 05:13 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize hogrunr   Tue Aug 10 2010 05:09 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize WesnWylie   Tue Aug 10 2010 04:46 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize MichaelA   Tue Aug 10 2010 04:21 PM
. * * Re: 94L - Beginning to Organize JoshuaK   Tue Aug 10 2010 02:50 PM
. * * 94L - Beginning to Organize berrywr   Tue Aug 10 2010 05:05 AM
. * * Re: Sputtering Along - But No Ignition berrywr   Tue Aug 10 2010 04:30 AM
. * * Re: Sputtering Along - But No Ignition metwannabe   Tue Aug 10 2010 02:55 AM
. * * Re: Sputtering Along - But No Ignition Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 10 2010 02:17 AM

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