WTNT01 KNGU 101400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN NORFOLK VA// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 101400Z AUG 10// RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 25.5N 83.0W TO 27.6N 87.2W OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. 2. A 0315 ZULU ASCAT PASS NORTHWEST OF THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOWS AN AREA OF CLOSED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH EXTENDING ALONG 25N 86W TO 27N 89W. CURRENT REGIONAL MODELS ARE SHOWING SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION OF THIS LOW OVER THE NEXT 24HRS. CURRENTLY THE LOW IS RESIDING UNDER 5 TO 10 KNOTS OF NORTHERLY SHEAR. THIS IS IN CONJUNCTION WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 85 TO 88 DEGREES FARENHEIT SHOULD HELP TO ENHANCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS TROPICAL FEATURE. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO A WARNING OR ALLOWED TO EXPIRE BY 111400Z AUG 2010.//
-------------------- www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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