Over the last two hours or so, there appears to have been a significant increase in convection near the apparentl LLC. It's even relatively symmetrical now - although the LLC is on the edge of the convection I suspect. Having said that, I use the word "significant" simply because there was so little organization earlier, any increase in convection would be significant. At least to me, TD5 now looks like a TD again, though, instead of some random clouds in the middle of the Gulf. Landfall gets tricky since it's moving at a snail's pace right now, if that fast. I'll stick to the NHC guidance right now, with the caveat that it needs to move some west and soon, or they will have to at least consider shifting the TS warnings further east to PC. Looking at the Tampa radar (admittedly dangerous) it appears to be moving almost due north?
-------------------- Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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