Most probable reason is Life Safety due to the Macondo Oil Spill and close proximity to land. That may be part of the reason they pulled the plug last evening due to the New 36 hour Warning Criteria. Almost any storm that forms in the GOM is 36 hours from landfall. Unless it follows a low latitude westerly track. Katrina and Rita are examples of late.
The RUC and WRF aren't giving TD5 much more than a Low in the GOM. While other models are on the upper end of Tropical Storm. Lot s of data and not a lot of time to look at it.
RECON should be airborne shortly for the 3rd dimension.
RECON for tomorrow: WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL. 1115 AM EDT WED 11 AUGUST 2010 SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD) VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z AUGUST 2010 TCPOD NUMBER.....10-073
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70 A. 12/1500, 1800, 2100Z B. AFXXX 0505A CYCLONE C. 12/1230Z D. 29.6N 89.4W E. 12/1430Z TO 12/2100Z F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
Macondo Spill Site is near 28.736667°N/ 88.386944°W
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