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NHC advisories to begin shortly on Storm 01L (Potential Tropical Cyclone 01L) in the Western Gulf. Elsewhere, low east of Bahamas being tracked.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)
20.3N 93.2W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1001mb
Moving:
Nnw at 7 mph
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Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 383
Loc: Plant City, Florida
Re: Too soon?
      Thu Aug 12 2010 03:17 PM

If you look at a couple of recently active years you find that you don't have to have a bunch of 'early' storms to make it an active year. In 2004, we were only to TS Earl at this point in the season. Yes, Charley had been a bad storm already making landfall on Aug 14, but it hadn't been a very active season to that point. Now in 2005 (which was among the most active EVER) we WERE already to Irene in this part of August. So an argument could be made that we are behind that curve. Certainly there is a LOT of season left to go and the most active times are still ahead of us....HOWEVER, it is also true that the farther we go along without getting some systems lined up in the Atlantic, the harder it will be to meet those very high predictions. I must also note that Ed was one of the few with predictions on the low side of those given by the 'experts' and he is looking pretty good so far.

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2023 Season Prediction: 17/6/2

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Too soon? Doombot! Thu Aug 12 2010 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? cieldumort   Sun Sep 12 2010 06:58 PM
. * * Unofficially TD5 became a Tropical Depression Thursday berrywr   Fri Aug 13 2010 04:12 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 12 2010 03:31 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 12 2010 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? berrywr   Fri Aug 13 2010 04:22 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? Tazmanian93   Thu Aug 12 2010 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 12 2010 10:45 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? Doombot!   Fri Aug 13 2010 02:08 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2010 05:31 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? Lamar-Plant City   Fri Aug 13 2010 02:54 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? MichaelA   Fri Aug 13 2010 03:45 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? ChrisS   Thu Sep 09 2010 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2010 04:18 PM
. * * Admin Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2010 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? MichaelA   Thu Sep 09 2010 06:28 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? ChrisS   Sun Sep 12 2010 01:04 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? cieldumort   Sun Sep 12 2010 05:36 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? ChrisS   Sun Sep 12 2010 03:05 PM
. * * Igor's path ftlaudbob   Fri Sep 10 2010 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? MichaelA   Thu Aug 12 2010 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? Lamar-Plant City   Thu Aug 12 2010 03:17 PM

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