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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 22 (Milton) , Major: 22 (Milton) Florida - Any: 22 (Milton) Major: 22 (Milton)
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WesnWylie
Weather Guru


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Posts: 155
Re: Week of 15 Aug 2010 - New Development
      Fri Aug 13 2010 12:22 PM

I think by this coming up Monday (or possibly Sunday?) there will be two areas to watch for development. The first is the possible redevelopment of TD 5 as it re-curves back into the Gulf of Mexico. If it does manage to get back into the gulf as the models show, it appears that it would have a limited/hard time to get going due to the proximity to land. Just as I am typing this, the 12z GFS shows the remnants flaring up into a very strong tropical storm or hurricane heading into SE Texas by Wednesday morning, so you never know. The second area that I think will be worth watching is the area in the SW Caribbean. The NAM hints @ development of this area in the next 3 or 4 days along with NOGAPS. This would be another Yucatan-type system if it were to develop. With all this said, I have a feeling that the tropical activity will pick up this next week through the end of August.

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2011 Season Forecast: 16/09/04
2011 Systems: 10/01/01

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Week of 15 Aug 2010 - New Development berrywr Fri Aug 13 2010 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Week of 15 Aug 2010 - New Development WesnWylie   Fri Aug 13 2010 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Week of 15 Aug 2010 - New Development danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 14 2010 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Week of 15 Aug 2010 - New Development lonelymike   Thu Aug 12 2010 05:29 PM

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