The wave approaching the African coast does look strong. We'll see if it survives after emerging into the Atlantic, though. Looks like there are two more waves traversing the African continent behind it, but they don't appear to be quite as strong. The area in the Caribbean looks a little less organized now than it did earlier today, but certainly bears watching while the area on the Pacific side has succumbed to the shear over it today. The Caribbean area does have a lot of moisture to work with and fairly good UL divergence. That's a heck of a trough off the East coast with lots of shear, so betting nothing develops there. The trough moving across the central US should help kick the remains of TD5 to the NE and E in the next few days.
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