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Newly tagged Invest 91L in the Central American Gyre heading towards MX/TX, a slow and sprawling flood threat. Bahamas hybrid well E of FL 10%/30% odd and expected to track back to the W across FL or SE US this week.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)

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Archives 2010s >> 2010 News Talkbacks

danielw
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Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?
Sun Aug 15 2010 07:10 PM

Surface analysis has the center of circulation in extreme SW Georgia... Or NE of you.

Buoy 12 nm south of Orange Beach,AL is reporting a 2.2mb drop in pressure over the last 3 hours.
Other buoys are reporting less than 0.9mb over 3 hours.

15/1900z 42012 30.1N -87.6W Temperature 25.9 Dew Point 25.0 Wind from 170degrees at 25kts Gusting to 31kts Peak wind from 160degrees at 31kts Pressure 1013.4mb Pressure Tendancy -2.2mb SST 30.1 Wave height 1.5m Wave period 6seconds 42012

15/19 42012 30.1 -87.6 25.9 25.0 170 25 G 31 160 31 1013.4 -2.2 30.1 1.5 6 42012

http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/findbuoy.cgi?id=42012

http://coolwx.com

edit:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
227 PM EDT SUN AUG 15 2010

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-TUESDAY NIGHT)...
THE ONE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF MODELS RUNS IS
THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (REMNANTS OF TD5) IS NOW PROGGED TO
PUSH FURTHER SOUTH OUT OVER THE PANHANDLE WATERS BEFORE HEADING
WEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THIS HAS LEAD TO A SLIGHT INCREASE IN PROBABILITIES FOR
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER HAS UPGRADED THIS TO A 30 PERCENT CHANCE FOR
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THIS TIME. THE LATEST SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWED THE CENTER OF THE WEAK CIRCULATION OVER OUR AREA
AROUND THE SOUTHERN GA/AL STATE LINE AND A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE AND THE NORTHERN GULF
WATERS.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/TAE/AFDTAE

Edited by danielw (Sun Aug 15 2010 07:45 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Watching Wave 95L for Next Week	Ed Dunham	Sun Aug 15 2010 07:10 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	typhoon_tip	Sat Aug 21 2010 08:09 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	WeatherNut	Sat Aug 21 2010 07:37 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	MikeC	Thu Aug 19 2010 08:22 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	berrywr	Wed Aug 18 2010 01:17 AM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	Fairhopian	Wed Aug 18 2010 12:30 AM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	Ed Dunham	Tue Aug 17 2010 10:17 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	WesnWylie	Tue Aug 17 2010 10:12 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	berrywr	Tue Aug 17 2010 09:58 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	scottsvb	Tue Aug 17 2010 08:38 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	allan	Tue Aug 17 2010 05:39 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	Fairhopian	Tue Aug 17 2010 05:36 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	Storm Hunter	Tue Aug 17 2010 05:09 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	WesnWylie	Tue Aug 17 2010 04:57 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - 16/2230Z	berrywr	Tue Aug 17 2010 12:36 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - 16/2230Z	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 16 2010 11:45 PM
Remnants of TD5 - 16/2230Z	berrywr	Mon Aug 16 2010 10:30 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - 16/2030Z	danielw	Mon Aug 16 2010 08:48 PM
Remnants of TD5 - 16/1930Z	berrywr	Mon Aug 16 2010 07:32 PM
Recon	danielw	Mon Aug 16 2010 06:23 PM
Re: Remnant TD5 Analysis - Aug 16/04Z	Hugh	Mon Aug 16 2010 12:09 PM
Re: Remnant TD5 Analysis - Aug 16/0930Z	berrywr	Mon Aug 16 2010 09:30 AM
Re: Remnant TD5 Analysis - Aug 16/04Z	danielw	Mon Aug 16 2010 04:28 AM
Remnant TD5 Analysis - Aug 16/04Z	berrywr	Mon Aug 16 2010 03:56 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5	danielw	Mon Aug 16 2010 03:02 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5	Hugh	Mon Aug 16 2010 12:56 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5	WesnWylie	Mon Aug 16 2010 12:53 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5	Hugh	Mon Aug 16 2010 12:43 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5	danielw	Sun Aug 15 2010 11:58 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 11:46 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5	danielw	Sun Aug 15 2010 11:13 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 10:52 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5	Ed Dunham	Sun Aug 15 2010 10:36 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 10:17 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 10:02 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	DestinFisherman	Sun Aug 15 2010 09:58 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 15 2010 08:53 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 08:44 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 15 2010 08:22 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	danielw	Sun Aug 15 2010 07:10 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 06:35 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	danielw	Sun Aug 15 2010 06:31 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	DestinFisherman	Sun Aug 15 2010 05:56 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 05:42 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	mwillis	Sun Aug 15 2010 05:22 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 04:39 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	orlandoweather	Sun Aug 15 2010 03:47 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	WesnWylie	Sun Aug 15 2010 03:39 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 03:27 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	WesnWylie	Sun Aug 15 2010 03:19 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 02:22 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	danielw	Sun Aug 15 2010 08:08 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	danielw	Sun Aug 15 2010 07:46 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	berrywr	Sun Aug 15 2010 06:01 AM
Re: Wait and Watch or Vice Versa	MichaelA	Sat Aug 14 2010 03:58 PM
Re: Wait and Watch or Vice Versa	Ed Dunham	Sat Aug 14 2010 03:27 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	MichaelA	Sat Aug 14 2010 03:07 PM
Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	berrywr	Sat Aug 14 2010 12:28 PM
Re: Wait and Watch or Vice Versa	MikeC	Sat Aug 14 2010 12:00 PM
Re: TD5 Remnants - Redevelopment in GOM?	WesnWylie	Fri Aug 13 2010 11:37 PM
TD5 Remnants - Redevelopment in GOM?	berrywr	Fri Aug 13 2010 08:45 PM
Re: Wait and Watch or Vice Versa	MichaelA	Fri Aug 13 2010 08:13 PM

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